TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and sites
Chance of less than .005% is not shown
Bold rule separates semistates
CLASS 4A
1. CROWN POINT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 94.00% 73.64% 23.21% 12.55%
Lake Central 5.25% 1.69% .03%
Munster .61% .08%
Hammond Central .13% .01%
Hammond Morton .01%
2. CHESTERTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Chesterton 59.92% 20.17% 3.03% 1.06%
Valparaiso 16.92% 1.37% .01%
Portage 15.87% 2.66% .12% .02%
Merrillville 5.71% .34%
Hobart 1.57% .04%
3. MISHAWAKA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Bend St. Joseph 51.54% 37.24% 7.40% 3.37%
South Bend Riley 27.27% 19.15% 3.43% 1.48%
Penn 17.23% 11.41% 1.67% .64%
Michigan City 1.92% .98% .04% .01%
South Bend Adams 1.59% .49% .01%
LaPorte .41% .13%
Mishawaka .02%
4. ELKHART
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northridge 70.16% 27.23% 2.89% .93%
Warsaw 12.54% 1.62% .02%
Elkhart 10.15% .90% .01%
Goshen 6.92% .85% .01%
Concord .23% .01%
5. FORT WAYNE NORTHROP
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Snider 43.83% 5.22% .56% .10%
Carroll (Fort Wayne) 30.59% 2.85% .21% .03%
Fort Wayne North 22.72% 1.13% .03%
Fort Wayne Northrop 2.87% .05%
6. HUNTINGTON NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Homestead 36.84% 20.86% .80% .16%
Fort Wayne South 28.50% 14.81% .43% .07%
Huntington North 18.92% 9.05% .12% .01%
Fort Wayne Wayne 15.74% 5.94% .07% .01%
7. LAFAYETTE JEFF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Harrison (West Lafayette) 50.65% 27.05% .89% .16%
Kokomo 27.92% 13.60% .34% .05%
Lafayette Jeff 19.68% 8.46% .14% .02%
McCutcheon 1.75% .24%
8. NOBLESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fishers 58.85% 55.74% 39.51% 28.66%
Carmel 22.86% 20.24% 10.07% 5.41%
Noblesville 5.83% 4.59% 1.37% .50%
Westfield 5.21% 4.34% 1.64% .71%
Zionsville 4.02% 3.26% 1.09% .43%
Hamilton Southeastern 3.23% 2.60% .85% .33%
9. GREENFIELD-CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mount Vernon (Fortville) 72.22% 33.83% 14.31% 6.64%
Pendleton Heights 15.48% 4.09% .81% .22%
Anderson 6.73% 1.28% .16% .03%
Greenfield-Central 3.33% .31% .01%
Muncie Central 2.21% .19% .01%
Richmond .04%
10. INDIANAPOLIS ARSENAL TECH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrence North 60.22% 49.06% 11.99% 4.94%
Lawrence Central 23.28% 15.47% 1.51% .38%
North Central (Indianapolis) 10.02% 5.50% .27% .05%
Warren Central 5.91% 2.49% .05% .01%
Indianapolis Arsenal Tech .58% .16%
11. PLAINFIELD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Plainfield 36.46% 22.52% 10.67% 5.39%
Pike 33.86% 22.75% 12.34% 6.94%
Ben Davis 25.96% 13.89% 5.20% 2.21%
Brownsburg 2.91% .95% .15% .04%
Avon .80% .19% .02%
12. MOORESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Decatur Central 34.01% 11.82% .78% .16%
Franklin Central 29.67% 8.26% .33% .05%
Center Grove 16.43% 4.02% .12% .02%
Mooresville 10.98% 1.31% .01%
Southport 7.53% 1.74% .03%
Perry Meridian 1.39% .16%
13. MARTINSVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Terre Haute North 63.77% 51.70% 12.60% 4.88%
Bloomington South 27.77% 17.12% 1.34% .27%
Bloomington North 7.75% 3.80% .14% .02%
Terre Haute South .36% .04%
Martinsville .35% .07%
14. COLUMBUS NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Whiteland 50.96% 17.81% 1.28% .24%
Columbus North 31.11% 6.70% .17% .02%
Columbus East 9.97% 1.57% .02%
Franklin 5.62% .90% .01%
East Central 2.33% .28%
15. SEYMOUR
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Albany 80.73% 65.68% 22.94% 10.24%
Floyd Central 5.98% 2.60% .12% .02%
Jeffersonville 5.97% 2.59% .12% .02%
Seymour 5.26% 1.72% .02%
Scottsburg 1.27% .31%
Bedford North Lawrence .80% .11%
16. EVANSVILLE NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville North 75.63% 23.82% 2.41% .50%
Evansville Reitz 12.30% 1.78% .03%
Evansville Harrison 9.13% 1.16% .02%
Castle 2.94% .23%
CLASS 3A
17. GARY WEST
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary West 51.47% 19.69% 2.03% .16%
Hammond Noll 18.70% 3.80% .11%
East Chicago Central 15.99% 3.33% .10%
Griffith 13.71% 2.63% .07%
Highland .10%
Calumet .02%
18. HANOVER CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
River Forest 33.24% 2.46% .03%
Hanover Central 20.95% 1.70% .02%
Illiana Christian 19.49% 1.52% .02%
Lowell 16.72% .81%
Kankakee Valley 9.60% .32%
19. NEW PRAIRIE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mishawaka Marian 70.12% 53.67% 12.76% 1.95%
Culver Academy 26.72% 16.27% 1.68% .14%
New Prairie 1.27% .18%
South Bend Washington 1.20% .26%
Plymouth .64% .17%
John Glenn .05%
20. COLUMBIA CITY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Columbia City 64.49% 61.95% 29.74% 7.24%
NorthWood 19.58% 17.52% 3.62% .40%
Fairfield 11.32% 10.03% 1.89% .19%
Wawasee 4.44% 3.59% .33% .02%
Tippecanoe Valley .10% .05%
West Noble .08% .04%
21. DEKALB
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Blackhawk 54.21% 36.69% 13.84% 2.94%
DeKalb 18.53% 5.67% .40% .02%
Angola 12.90% 5.67% .84% .08%
Fort Wayne Dwenger 5.15% .96% .03%
Leo 4.31% .75% .02%
Fort Wayne Concordia 2.52% .36% .01%
East Noble 2.29% .32% .01%
Garrett .09% .01%
22. BELLMONT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Haven 55.49% 40.27% 12.81% 2.41%
Marion 30.70% 17.79% 2.82% .30%
Norwell 4.17% 1.65% .09%
Bellmont 3.64% .86% .01%
Heritage 3.44% 1.30% .06%
Mississinewa 2.55% .90% .03%
23. LOGANSPORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Lafayette 62.64% 30.37% 6.00% .75%
Logansport 19.18% 3.98% .08%
Western 7.15% 1.40% .04%
Northwestern 6.94% 1.10% .02%
Peru 2.90% .29%
Twin Lakes .88% .07%
Maconaquah .31% .01%
24. NEW CASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Delta 33.41% 16.71% 3.32% .40%
Yorktown 31.90% 18.79% 5.56% .94%
Connersville 12.87% 4.88% .49% .04%
Jay County 9.75% 4.38% .67% .07%
New Castle 6.07% 2.60% .24% .02%
Hamilton Heights 6.00% 2.20% .21% .01%
25. FRANKFORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brebeuf Jesuit 48.51% 26.53% 7.08% 5.49%
Guerin Catholic 45.29% 19.63% 3.26% 2.20%
Tri-West 3.80% .93% .05% .02%
Lebanon 2.06% .27%
Crawfordsville .23% .01%
Danville .11%
Frankfort
26. INDIANAPOLIS ATTUCKS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Cathedral 66.54% 43.18% 14.49% 11.92%
Indianapolis Attucks 22.01% 6.41% .45% .23%
Indianapolis Shortridge 8.60% 2.57% .19% .10%
Indianapolis Chatard 2.73% .47% .01%
Purdue Englewood .11% .01%
Indianapolis Herron .01%
27. SPEEDWAY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northview 76.41% 39.09% 3.60% 2.27%
Cascade 9.64% 1.23% .01%
Indianapolis Washington 8.02% 1.51% .01%
Edgewood 4.97% .50%
Speedway .95% .08%
Owen Valley .01%
28. GREENWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Shelbyville 34.70% 21.53% 2.38% 1.57%
Indianapolis Roncalli 33.20% 20.95% 2.45% 1.65%
Greenwood 21.45% 10.63% .57% .30%
New Palestine 8.75% 4.03% .17% .09%
Beech Grove 1.83% .44%
Indian Creek .03%
Rushville .03%
29. SOUTH DEARBORN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Batesville 43.88% 4.03% .22% .08%
South Dearborn 24.18% 1.27% .02% .01%
Jennings County 22.78% 1.78% .07% .02%
Greensburg 8.17% .35%
Franklin County .65% .01%
Lawrenceburg .33%
30. MADISON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Silver Creek 87.51% 83.72% 55.61% 50.16%
Charlestown 7.49% 5.87% .82% .44%
Corydon Central 3.28% 2.09% .17% .07%
Brownstown Central 1.51% .83% .04% .01%
Madison .13% .02%
North Harrison .09% .03%
31. WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Princeton 63.33% 43.19% 5.25% 3.57%
Gibson Southern 14.39% 7.12% .32% .16%
Jasper 13.64% 6.65% .29% .14%
Southridge 3.52% 1.01% .01%
Washington 2.78% .82% .01%
Vincennes Lincoln 2.35% .66% .01%
32. BOONVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Bosse 52.35% 26.04% 2.04% 1.21%
Heritage Hills 22.63% 7.45% .22% .09%
Boonville 15.91% 5.46% .18% .08%
Evansville Memorial 6.48% 1.17% .01%
Mount Vernon (Posey) 2.10% .38%
Evansville Central .53% .05%
CLASS 2A
33. BOONE GROVE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary 21st Century 87.86% 57.36% 26.54% 15.64%
Gary Lighthouse 4.17% .59% .02%
Andrean 3.62% .49% .02%
Hebron 3.15% .35% .01%
Boone Grove 1.09% .05%
Lake Station .07%
Wheeler .04%
Whiting
34. LAVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bremen 40.19% 14.75% .49% .09%
Jimtown 35.43% 12.03% .32% .05%
Winamac 17.84% 4.91% .08% .01%
LaVille 5.09% .68%
Career Academy 1.27% .08%
Knox .17% .01%
35. WESTVIEW
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Westview 83.29% 37.45% 12.84% 6.18%
Lakeland 15.84% 3.63% .40% .09%
Prairie Heights .74% .06%
Eastside .08%
Central Noble .05%
Churubusco
36. BLUFFTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Luers 79.29% 59.79% 6.80% 2.38%
Bluffton 16.51% 6.92% .10% .01%
South Adams 1.90% .48%
Woodlan 1.50% .24%
Whitko .59% .08%
Adams Central .22% .02%
37. DELPHI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Benton Central 32.43% 2.95% .04%
Seeger 26.54% 2.65% .05%
Delphi 23.47% 1.46% .01%
Western Boone 15.01% .96% .01%
North Montgomery 2.16% .09%
Rensselaer Central .39%
38. MANCHESTER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Oak Hill 89.27% 86.13% 44.03% 26.73%
Eastern (Greentown) 4.67% 2.87% .07% .01%
Lewis Cass 2.53% 1.29% .01%
Rochester 2.14% .94% .01%
Manchester .97% .51% .01%
Wabash .42% .15%
39. ELWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lapel 49.22% 38.12% 5.05% 1.84%
Sheridan 24.57% 13.87% .83% .19%
Taylor 12.80% 6.73% .33% .07%
Frankton 12.29% 6.11% .26% .05%
Tipton 1.06% .30%
Elwood .06%
40. EASTBROOK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wapahani 51.44% 19.31% .99% .21%
Alexandria 19.71% 7.67% .42% .09%
Blackford 14.51% 5.12% .23% .04%
Eastbrook 13.63% 2.74% .04%
Madison-Grant .54% .03%
Muncie Burris .17% .01%
41. GREENCASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Parke Heritage 81.89% 54.53% 26.31% 15.23%
Greencastle 11.35% 3.96% .35% .07%
South Putnam 4.65% .69% .01%
North Putnam 1.35% .09%
Southmont .74% .06%
South Vermillion .02%
42. INDIANAPOLIS RITTER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
University 38.73% 17.42% 4.47% 1.89%
Park Tudor 22.68% 7.35% 1.06% .32%
Indianapolis Ritter 19.76% 7.45% 1.40% .49%
Covenant Christian 14.15% 3.66% .35% .08%
Indianapolis Riverside 3.88% .87% .07% .01%
Monrovia .80% .10%
43. EASTERN HANCOCK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Scecina 60.91% 42.02% 15.58% 8.22%
Triton Central 26.62% 16.90% 5.14% 2.40%
Heritage Christian 6.01% 2.37% .26% .06%
Eastern Hancock 4.13% 1.37% .10% .02%
KIPP Indy Legacy 1.53% .30% .01%
Christel House .80% .18% .01%
Irvington Prep .01%
44. HAGERSTOWN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Centerville 73.11% 35.53% 13.60% 6.73%
Shenandoah 19.16% 4.22% .38% .08%
Hagerstown 5.35% .68% .02%
Northeastern 2.04% .22%
Winchester .34% .02%
Union County
45. SOUTHWESTERN (HANOVER)
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Austin 46.14% 20.17% .86% .14%
South Ripley 38.80% 19.72% 1.31% .27%
Southwestern (Hanover) 14.91% 5.77% .17% .02%
Brown County .10% .01%
Switzerland County .04%
46. SALEM
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Paoli 56.56% 41.30% 12.96% 5.48%
Providence 41.93% 28.48% 7.19% 2.63%
Salem 1.16% .21%
Mitchell .27% .03%
Crawford County .05%
Clarksville .02%
Eastern (Pekin) .01%
47. NORTH KNOX
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Sullivan 51.59% 18.40% 2.87% .77%
Linton 24.16% 7.59% .95% .22%
South Knox 10.13% 1.59% .06% .01%
West Vigo 7.09% 1.06% .03%
Eastern Greene 6.87% 1.33% .07% .01%
North Knox .16% .01%
48. FOREST PARK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Mater Dei 56.28% 35.68% 3.71% .98%
Forest Park 34.39% 16.35% .68% .11%
South Spencer 6.23% 1.69% .02%
North Posey 2.49% .54%
Perry Central .53% .07%
Pike Central .06%
Tell City .02%
CLASS 1A
49. KOUTS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Kouts 69.67% 53.36% 33.73% 16.80%
Marquette Catholic 18.00% 10.26% 3.88% 1.12%
Washington Twp. 9.21% 4.35% 1.17% .25%
Bowman Academy 2.35% .82% .13% .02%
Morgan Twp. .77% .13%
Westville
Hammond Science & Tech
Tri-Township
50. CASTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Central 41.97% 30.83% 4.24% .91%
Caston 35.59% 22.97% 1.85% .28%
DeMotte Christian 13.23% 7.94% .49% .06%
Tri-County 8.67% 4.58% .18% .02%
South Newton .27% .06%
Pioneer .25% .06%
North Newton .02%
North White
51. CULVER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Triton 66.93% 24.08% 8.92% 2.53%
South Central (Union Mills) 24.79% 6.21% 1.42% .27%
Elkhart Christian 4.70% .59% .05%
North Judson 1.61% .14%
Culver .95% .04%
Trinity Academy .78% .03%
Argos .12%
Oregon-Davis .10%
52. BETHANY CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Canterbury 61.50% 24.17% 1.20% .14%
Lakewood Park 20.17% 5.39% .11% .01%
Bethany Christian 17.77% 3.97% .05%
Fremont .31% .01%
Lakeland Christian .25% .02%
Smith Academy
Hamilton
53. FOUNTAIN CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Vermillion 43.13% 14.93% 1.88% .32%
Lafayette Central Catholic 26.62% 6.62% .43% .05%
Faith Christian 13.88% 2.58% .10% .01%
Fountain Central 7.46% .97% .02%
Riverton Parke 7.44% .90% .01%
Covington 1.36% .05%
Attica .12%
54. CLINTON CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Rossville 69.95% 56.86% 19.61% 6.99%
Frontier 17.85% 10.99% 1.39% .24%
Bethesda Christian 9.11% 5.08% .47% .06%
Carroll (Flora) 2.40% .81% .02%
Clinton Prairie .67% .20%
Clinton Central .03%
Traders Point Christian
55. WES-DEL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Southwood 62.80% 34.16% 6.97% 1.73%
North Miami 24.99% 7.49% .41% .04%
Tri-Central 3.81% .58% .01%
Wes-Del 3.74% .45%
Cowan 3.42% .63% .01%
Northfield .81% .07%
Daleville .38% .03%
Southern Wells .05%
56. CAMBRIDGE CITY LINCOLN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Monroe Central 54.44% 35.02% 8.19% 2.26%
Randolph Southern 35.78% 19.75% 3.04% .62%
Union City 5.60% 1.23% .02%
Seton Catholic 2.28% .37%
Union (Modoc) 1.74% .19%
Blue River Valley .13% .01%
Cambridge City Lincoln .03%
57. INDIANA DEAF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Liberty Christian 91.76% 75.15% 25.06% 17.06%
Indianapolis Tindley 6.26% 1.99% .04% .01%
Purdue Broad Ripple 1.03% .07%
Anderson Prep .64% .04%
Indiana Math & Science .27% .03%
Indiana Deaf .03%
International .01%
MTI Knowledge
58. INDIANAPOLIS LUTHERAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Greenwood Christian 37.54% 8.51% .58% .20%
Indianapolis Lutheran 33.06% 8.08% .64% .24%
Indianapolis Metropolitan 23.15% 5.90% .51% .19%
Providence Cristo Rey 4.33% .17%
Eminence 1.85% .06%
Victory College Prep .04%
Central Christian .02%
59. TRI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Decatur 26.37% 5.04% .29% .09%
Tri 21.66% 3.50% .15% .04%
Waldron 17.01% 2.32% .07% .02%
Morristown 16.79% 3.05% .16% .05%
North Decatur 13.68% 1.98% .07% .02%
Knightstown 3.15% .20%
Edinburgh 1.29% .06%
Southwestern (Shelbyville) .06%
60. MILAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hauser 80.33% 72.34% 32.28% 23.93%
Trinity Lutheran 10.43% 6.66% .60% .23%
Milan 8.42% 4.62% .25% .08%
Oldenburg Academy .50% .14%
Jac-Cen-Del .27% .06%
Rising Sun .03%
Crothersville .02%
Shawe Memorial
61. WHITE RIVER VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomfield 67.79% 38.99% 9.15% 5.51%
Cloverdale 22.81% 8.14% .68% .26%
Shakamak 4.25% .62% .01%
Clay City 3.16% .39%
White River Valley 1.39% .14%
North Central (Farmersburg) .59% .05%
Lighthouse Christian .01%
Dugger Union
62. LOOGOOTEE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Orleans 45.95% 37.28% 8.41% 5.01%
Barr-Reeve 30.42% 26.12% 8.16% 5.49%
North Daviess 15.85% 11.84% 1.76% .89%
Loogootee 6.53% 4.38% .40% .17%
Vincennes Rivet 1.22% .48% .01%
Shoals .02% .01%
Medora .01%
Washington Catholic
63. BORDEN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Washington 39.57% 11.25% .80% .30%
Henryville 23.60% 5.15% .22% .07%
Borden 17.69% 2.01% .02%
Christian Academy 7.11% .69% .01%
South Central (Elizabeth) 6.59% .47%
Lanesville 3.86% .26%
Rock Creek Academy 1.43% .07%
New Washington .14%
64. WOOD MEMORIAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northeast Dubois 48.74% 27.29% 5.66% 3.25%
Wood Memorial 44.12% 23.00% 4.01% 2.15%
Tecumseh 3.35% .65% .01%
Evansville Christian 2.09% .49% .01%
Springs Valley 1.32% .21%
Evansville Day .38% .02%
Cannelton