TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and sites
Chance of less than .005% is not shown
ORIGINAL PRE-TOURNAMENT CHANCES
CLASS 4A
1. GARY WEST
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Munster 47.35% 17.01% 3.68% 1.44%
West Side 46.54% 18.99% 4.64% 2.00%
Lake Central 4.29% .46% .04% .01%
Merrillville 1.43% .11% .01%
EC Central .22%
Morton .09%
Highland .08%
2. CHESTERTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 40.82% 8.86% 1.64% .57%
Valparaiso 23.21% 5.42% 1.06% .38%
Chesterton 17.38% 3.41% .59% .19%
Lowell 16.89% .71% .05% .01%
Portage 1.64% .01%
Hobart .06%
3. MICHIGAN CITY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Adams 57.47% 25.46% 7.16% 3.44%
Riley 31.02% 9.46% 1.89% .69%
Michigan City 6.83% .78% .08% .01%
Mishawaka 3.04% .21% .01%
Culver Academy 1.34% .09% .01%
LaPorte .26% .01%
Plymouth .05%
4. ELKHART
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northridge 35.54% 3.97% .50% .12%
Warsaw 26.63% 2.15% .22% .05%
Elkhart 18.83% 1.50% .16% .03%
Penn 17.81% 1.38% .14% .03%
Concord .70% .01%
Goshen .49%
5. EAST NOBLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Carroll 54.39% 6.39% 3.49% 1.50%
Snider 31.01% 1.81% .74% .23%
North Side 7.39% .08% .02%
East Noble 3.25% .01%
DeKalb 2.60% .02%
Northrop 1.36% .01%
6. COLUMBIA CITY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Homestead 86.77% 44.40% 37.93% 29.39%
New Haven 6.99% .17% .04% .01%
South Side 3.11% .05% .01%
Huntington North 1.93% .06% .02%
Wayne .64%
Columbia City .56%
7. MARION
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lafayette Jeff 47.49% 7.61% 4.66% 2.31%
McCutcheon 21.93% .62% .18% .04%
Harrison 15.35% .48% .15% .03%
Marion 10.65% .54% .18% .04%
Logansport 3.19% .03%
Kokomo 1.40% .01%
8. CARMEL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Carmel 71.21% 32.63% 27.56% 21.00%
Westfield 13.40% 2.92% 1.93% 1.05%
Fishers 6.31% 1.15% .71% .35%
Zionsville 4.75% .64% .34% .15%
Noblesville 2.46% .14% .05% .01%
Hamilton SE 1.87% .21% .10% .04%
9. RICHMOND
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mt. Vernon 48.83% 5.49% 2.38% .49%
New Palestine 21.54% .97% .28% .03%
Anderson 12.86% .15% .02%
Pendleton Hts. 6.74% .03%
Richmond 4.88% .05% .01%
Greenfield 4.27% .05% .01%
Muncie .89%
10. INDIANAPOLIS TECH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Central 23.51% 10.76% 7.40% 2.96%
Lawrence North 23.03% 14.21% 11.29% 5.94%
Cathedral 18.23% 10.60% 8.19% 4.06%
Crispus Attucks 17.60% 7.96% 5.44% 2.16%
Warren Central 13.35% 6.47% 4.57% 1.92%
Lawrence Central 4.02% 1.34% .79% .25%
Arsenal Tech .26% .01%
11. DECATUR CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Pike 40.75% 13.03% 7.93% 2.61%
Ben Davis 36.30% 7.32% 3.54% .84%
Perry Meridian 10.35% 1.50% .62% .12%
Decatur Central 5.43% .26% .05%
Roncalli 4.18% .28% .07% .01%
Southport 3.00% .17% .04%
12. AVON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brownsburg 47.20% 11.74% 7.34% 2.51%
Plainfield 29.24% 6.13% 3.59% 1.11%
Avon 16.69% 1.20% .45% .08%
Mooresville 4.95% .23% .07% .01%
Terre Haute North 1.27% .04% .01%
Terre Haute South .65%
13. WHITELAND
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Center Grove 50.81% 26.16% 12.60% 4.40%
Whiteland 19.22% 2.91% .56% .07%
Franklin Central 14.15% 3.81% 1.10% .22%
Greenwood 13.07% 2.55% .59% .09%
Shelbyville 2.31% .08% .01%
Franklin .45% .01%
14. BLOOMINGTON SOUTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomington North 36.90% 13.69% 5.69% 1.68%
Bloomington South 35.39% 7.66% 2.19% .43%
Columbus North 22.44% 6.25% 2.12% .50%
East Central 3.09% .17% .02%
Martinsville 1.11% .01%
Columbus East 1.08% .01%
15. SEYMOUR
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Floyd Central 34.96% 9.37% 3.20% .76%
New Albany 31.29% 5.80% 1.55% .28%
Jeffersonville 27.87% 8.03% 2.89% .73%
Bedford NL 3.31% .25% .03%
Jennings County 1.38% .08% .01%
Seymour 1.19% .02%
16. EVANSVILLE NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Reitz 36.94% 5.56% 1.37% .23%
Castle 29.34% 5.97% 1.77% .36%
Harrison 16.41% .63% .07% .01%
North 11.25% .85% .14% .02%
Jasper 4.15% .08% .01%
Central 1.90% .02%
CLASS 3A
17. CALUMET
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hammond 97.12% 72.70% 66.81% 52.81%
Calumet 2.38% .10% .02%
Lighthouse .46% .01%
Griffith .04%
Gavit
18. NEW PRAIRIE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Prairie 68.96% 1.62% .75% .19%
Hanover Central 15.49% .10% .03%
Kankakee Valley 13.60% .05% .01%
River Forest 1.14%
Knox .80%
Wheeler .01%
19. SOUTH BEND WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
St. Joseph 53.25% 16.12% 13.34% 8.33%
Marian 26.25% 5.44% 4.07% 2.08%
John Glenn 16.02% 1.49% .83% .27%
Washington 4.41% .15% .05% .01%
Clay .04%
Jimtown .02%
20. TWIN LAKES
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Western 36.13% 1.37% .76% .24%
Twin Lakes 32.51% .68% .31% .07%
Maconaquah 12.78% .07% .02%
Peru 11.93% .08% .02%
West Lafayette 4.38% .03% .01%
Benton Central 1.72% .01%
Northwestern .56%
21. WEST NOBLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
NorthWood 54.49% 13.63% 1.38% .32%
West Noble 30.98% 3.39% .18% .02%
Lakeland 8.20% .42% .01%
Wawasee 5.30% .28% .01%
Tippecanoe Valley 1.04% .02%
22. WOODLAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bishop Dwenger 40.60% 18.04% 2.84% .95%
Leo 40.43% 21.28% 4.15% 1.65%
Bishop Luers 11.18% 2.65% .23% .04%
Concordia 4.89% .89% .06% .01%
Woodlan 1.45% .10%
Angola 1.45% .17% .01%
Garrett .01%
23. MISSISSINEWA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mississinewa 35.53% 6.07% .47% .09%
Norwell 26.77% 3.46% .22% .03%
Bellmont 18.55% 3.56% .24% .04%
Oak Hill 8.16% .70% .03%
Heritage 7.56% .29% .01%
Eastern 3.44% .17% .01%
24. NEW CASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hamilton Heights 40.51% 13.82% 2.02% .64%
Delta 25.80% 6.54% .73% .18%
New Castle 15.75% 1.54% .08% .01%
Yorktown 15.36% 2.88% .25% .05%
Jay County 1.52% .08%
Burris 1.05% .01%
25. FRANKFORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Danville 27.34% 6.53% 2.42% .49%
Greencastle 26.13% 5.03% 1.38% .20%
Tri-West 19.04% 2.23% .54% .07%
Crawfordsville 15.85% 2.77% .85% .14%
Monrovia 6.82% .23% .03%
Frankfort 4.81% .16% .02%
North Montgomery
26. OWEN VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northview 44.21% 7.69% 2.64% .50%
Edgewood 24.62% 1.14% .19% .02%
Owen Valley 13.58% .70% .12% .01%
Brownstown 10.64% .67% .13% .01%
South Vermillion 4.65% .04%
West Vigo 2.30% .05% .01%
Brown County .01%
27. LEBANON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Guerin Catholic 62.29% 37.80% 21.24% 7.41%
Brebeuf Jesuit 30.02% 13.30% 5.73% 1.41%
Bishop Chatard 5.03% .88% .19% .02%
Lebanon 2.48% .34% .06% .01%
Shortridge .17% .01%
Manual
28. BEECH GROVE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Beech Grove 61.75% 18.45% 7.68% 1.81%
Cardinal Ritter 11.48% .63% .10% .01%
Indian Creek 9.69% .50% .08% .01%
Speedway 7.97% .22% .02%
Washington 7.13% .60% .12% .01%
Herron 1.98% .03%
29. GREENSBURG
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Greensburg 50.57% 10.15% 4.28% .85%
Connersville 42.06% 9.08% 3.99% .83%
South Dearborn 2.41% .10% .02%
Batesville 2.30% .09% .01%
Lawrenceburg 1.52% .05% .01%
Franklin County 1.12% .03%
Rushville .01%
30. CHARLESTOWN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Silver Creek 67.13% 46.59% 34.25% 15.36%
Madison 19.42% 5.09% 1.93% .34%
North Harrison 12.60% 3.78% 1.56% .30%
Scottsburg .57% .02%
Charlestown .15%
Corydon .12%
Salem .02%
31. WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Sullivan 56.96% 12.84% 6.12% 1.42%
Princeton 25.87% 1.61% .39% .04%
Lincoln 8.63% .06%
Washington 6.53% .26% .05%
Pike Central 2.01%
32. BOONVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bosse 42.76% 4.92% 1.78% .30%
Heritage Hills 33.88% 4.81% 1.93% .36%
Mt. Vernon 12.10% .28% .05%
Memorial 5.57% .21% .05%
Gibson Southern 3.42% .01%
Boonville 2.26% .01%
CLASS 2A
33. WHITING
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Andrean 45.63% 5.84% 4.06% 1.95%
Marquette 28.10% 1.10% .45% .10%
Illiana Christian 16.57% .81% .37% .09%
Bowman 9.05% .46% .22% .06%
Noll .33%
Lake Station .22%
Whiting .11%
34. NORTH JUDSON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Boone Grove 39.05% .32% .09% .01%
LaVille 20.85% .12% .03%
South Central 18.03% .05% .01%
North Judson 14.27% .03%
Hebron 5.98% .01%
Westville 1.77%
Career Academy .04%
35. WESTVIEW
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Churubusco 49.04% 4.71% 3.43% 1.78%
Central Noble 24.01% 1.92% 1.33% .63%
Eastside 15.66% .35% .15% .03%
Westview 8.57% .38% .22% .07%
Bremen 2.64% .01%
Fairfield .08%
Prairie Heights .01%
36. BLUFFTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Blackhawk 95.70% 83.54% 79.93% 71.71%
Manchester 1.55% .13% .04% .01%
Whitko 1.16% .10% .04% .01%
South Adams 1.16% .08% .03%
Canterbury .20%
Wabash .09%
Bluffton .07%
Adams Central .07%
37. DELPHI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Rochester 53.56% 10.75% .76% .17%
Cass 31.96% 5.94% .40% .08%
Rensselaer 12.87% .95% .03%
Delphi .69% .01%
North Newton .67% .01%
Winamac .26%
38. FOUNTAIN CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Rossville 47.48% 9.75% .69% .15%
Carroll 33.32% 8.45% .70% .18%
Clinton Prairie 9.17% 1.01% .05% .01%
Western Boone 6.58% .27% .01%
Fountain Central 2.48% .04%
Seeger .97% .01%
39. BLACKFORD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Blackford 43.41% 19.93% 2.73% 1.13%
Madison-Grant 24.89% 8.55% .88% .29%
Tipton 14.73% 1.77% .08% .01%
Taylor 10.56% .55% .02%
Sheridan 6.21% .27% .01%
Eastbrook .21%
40. ELWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Winchester 41.36% 17.75% 2.24% .87%
Monroe Central 20.52% 4.88% .36% .09%
Frankton 18.79% 5.41% .38% .09%
Wapahani 13.79% 3.39% .26% .06%
Lapel 4.78% .30% .01%
Alexandria .74% .01%
Elwood .02%
41. SHENANDOAH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Shenandoah 71.05% 33.36% 24.70% 6.68%
Northeastern 21.56% 5.53% 3.13% .54%
Eastern Hancock 6.74% .26% .06%
Union County .54%
Hagerstown .08%
Centerville .01%
Knightstown .01%
Lincoln .01%
42. HERITAGE CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Covenant 41.60% 16.22% 11.38% 2.76%
Park Tudor 31.71% 9.97% 6.40% 1.33%
University 13.77% 1.88% .83% .10%
Heritage Christian 12.90% 1.21% .45% .05%
Scecina .02%
Irvington Prep
43. CLOVERDALE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Parke Heritage 45.55% 7.74% 4.28% .71%
North Putnam 42.80% 4.66% 2.16% .28%
Southmont 7.08% .21% .05%
Cloverdale 2.13% .02%
Cascade 1.66% .01%
Riverton Parke .59%
South Putnam .19%
44. MILAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Ripley 62.71% 17.20% 11.30% 2.44%
Milan 17.80% .80% .25% .02%
South Decatur 11.50% .66% .23% .02%
Triton Central 7.97% .27% .07%
North Decatur .03%
45. SOUTHWESTERN (HANOVER)
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Southwestern 76.61% 34.75% 13.68% 2.28%
Providence 14.20% 2.55% .46% .04%
Clarksville 5.78% .43% .04%
Henryville 3.01% .14% .01%
Austin .36% .01%
Switzerland County .05%
46. PAOLI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Perry Central 50.70% 8.00% 1.88% .19%
Paoli 32.03% 1.40% .15% .01%
Crawford County 7.04% .16% .01%
Tell City 6.50% .09%
Eastern 3.73% .07%
47. EASTERN GREENE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Linton 44.08% 17.39% 7.27% 1.29%
Eastern Greene 27.38% 4.13% .85% .08%
North Knox 19.65% 1.61% .22% .01%
South Knox 7.16% 1.05% .21% .02%
Mitchell 1.72% .02%
48. SOUTHRIDGE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Spencer 51.02% 20.16% 8.13% 1.39%
Southridge 22.45% 4.79% 1.19% .13%
Mater Dei 9.63% 1.67% .36% .03%
North Posey 8.05% .69% .09% .01%
Forest Park 6.89% .83% .14% .01%
Tecumseh 1.96% .04%
CLASS 1A
49. KOUTS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Kouts 66.22% 51.77% 44.40% 20.47%
21st Century 21.47% 10.71% 6.85% 1.65%
Morgan Twp. 9.15% 3.97% 2.31% .48%
Washington Twp. 3.16% .75% .30% .03%
Covenant
HAST
50. CULVER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Triton 70.60% 22.38% 14.99% 3.92%
Argos 23.83% 3.04% 1.29% .16%
Oregon-Davis 3.21% .10% .02%
Culver 2.33% .03%
LaCrosse .03%
West Central
51. BETHANY CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fremont 51.31% 3.31% 1.32% .16%
Elkhart Christian 28.95% 1.23% .41% .04%
Bethany Christian 15.41% .24% .05%
Lakewood Park 4.33% .03%
Hamilton
52. TRI-COUNTY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North White 50.59% 1.64% .51% .04%
Caston 28.21% .64% .14% .01%
Pioneer 12.29% .13% .02%
Tri-County 5.54% .01%
Frontier 2.50% .01%
South Newton .88%
53. NORTH MIAMI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Southwood 72.23% 21.48% 6.03% 1.03%
Northfield 15.83% .71% .06%
Lakeland Christian 6.99% .15% .01%
North Miami 2.93% .02%
Southern Wells 2.01% .03%
Smith Academy
54. ATTICA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Central Catholic 53.58% 26.53% 9.28% 2.03%
Covington 44.69% 17.88% 5.09% .88%
Faith Christian .83% .06%
Clinton Central .80% .05%
Attica .09%
North Vermillion
55. WES-DEL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Liberty Christian 49.99% 17.72% 4.78% .78%
Cowan 16.49% 2.24% .30% .02%
Tri-Central 15.21% 2.88% .48% .05%
Wes-Del 13.66% 2.08% .24% .02%
Daleville 4.44% .43% .05%
Anderson Prep .22%
56. RANDOLPH SOUTHERN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Seton Catholic 36.38% 4.76% .78% .07%
Blue River 35.82% 2.22% .23% .01%
Union City 12.66% .33% .02%
Randolph Southern 8.75% .37% .03%
Tri 6.39% .07%
Union
57. CLAY CITY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomfield 66.86% 26.29% 7.39% 3.62%
Shakamak 15.26% .82% .07% .01%
North Central 14.32% 1.40% .17% .04%
WRV 2.58% .03%
Clay City .91% .01%
Eminence .05%
Lighthouse .01%
58. INDIANAPOLIS METROPOLITAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Metropolitan 39.41% 1.65% .13% .02%
International 30.44% 2.79% .34% .08%
Bethesda Christian 14.92% .75% .07% .01%
Traders Point 10.33% .07%
IMSA 4.70% .02%
Indiana Deaf .20%
59. INDIANAPOLIS LUTHERAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lutheran 45.16% 16.38% 3.85% 1.62%
Tindley 38.75% 20.14% 6.50% 3.55%
Greenwood Christian 11.99% 3.91% .84% .33%
Central Christian 3.96% .41% .04% .01%
Victory Prep .10%
Cristo Rey .03%
Christel House .01%
60. SOUTHWESTERN (SHELBYVILLE)
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Jac-Cen-Del 47.47% 14.72% 2.98% 1.10%
Morristown 27.24% 7.61% 1.43% .49%
Southwestern 16.25% 2.53% .26% .05%
Oldenburg 3.30% .31% .03%
Rising Sun 2.65% .09%
Waldron 1.96% .06%
Hauser 1.13% .03%
61. BORDEN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lanesville 39.79% 2.72% .83% .21%
Borden 33.78% 1.67% .42% .09%
Rock Creek 18.71% 1.16% .33% .08%
Christian Academy 4.16% .10% .02%
South Central 1.90% .01%
New Washington 1.66% .01%
62. WEST WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Edinburgh 50.47% 3.59% 1.36% .43%
West Washington 39.23% .80% .16% .03%
Trinity Lutheran 10.26% .19% .04% .01%
Crothersville .03%
Shawe .01%
Medora
63. NORTH DAVIESS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Barr-Reeve 64.79% 60.02% 53.87% 45.38%
Loogootee 24.04% 18.47% 13.17% 8.22%
North Daviess 10.36% 7.16% 4.56% 2.49%
Orleans .70% .23% .08% .02%
Shoals .10% .02%
Catholic
64. WOOD MEMORIAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Day School 41.51% 2.83% .92% .25%
Wood Memorial 27.02% .26% .03%
Springs Valley 19.91% .53% .08% .01%
NE Dubois 9.95% .22% .04% .01%
Rivet 1.40%
Cannelton .21%