TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and sites
Chance of less than .005% is not shown
Bold rule separates semistates
CLASS 4A
1. CROWN POINT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 93.58% 69.70% 22.18% 12.11%
Lake Central 5.78% 1.55% .03%
Munster .53% .06%
Hammond Central .12% .01%
2. CHESTERTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Chesterton 80.95% 27.27% 4.10% 1.45%
Valparaiso 13.49% 1.11% .01%
Merrillville 4.49% .28%
Hobart 1.07% .03%
3. MISHAWAKA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Bend St. Joseph 50.15% 36.80% 7.55% 3.52%
South Bend Riley 27.49% 19.38% 3.43% 1.47%
Penn 21.07% 14.11% 2.07% .81%
South Bend Adams 1.29% .37%
4. ELKHART
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northridge 67.58% 25.72% 2.73% .89%
Warsaw 12.97% 1.62% .02%
Elkhart 10.21% .87% .01%
Goshen 9.24% 1.13% .02%
5. FORT WAYNE NORTHROP
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Snider 46.49% 5.96% .69% .13%
Carroll (Fort Wayne) 28.51% 2.62% .18% .03%
Fort Wayne North 22.26% 1.13% .03%
Fort Wayne Northrop 2.74% .05%
6. HUNTINGTON NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Homestead 35.59% 19.19% .68% .13%
Fort Wayne South 29.12% 14.64% .42% .07%
Huntington North 19.78% 9.17% .13% .01%
Fort Wayne Wayne 15.50% 5.55% .06% .01%
7. LAFAYETTE JEFF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Harrison (West Lafayette) 51.79% 29.15% 1.09% .22%
Kokomo 26.90% 13.41% .34% .05%
Lafayette Jeff 19.32% 8.59% .15% .02%
McCutcheon 1.99% .31%
8. NOBLESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fishers 58.31% 55.06% 38.94% 28.26%
Carmel 23.05% 20.38% 10.36% 5.70%
Noblesville 10.89% 8.54% 2.61% .97%
Hamilton Southeastern 7.76% 6.27% 2.16% .88%
9. GREENFIELD-CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mount Vernon (Fortville) 74.34% 33.98% 14.66% 6.83%
Anderson 19.05% 3.69% .51% .11%
Greenfield-Central 3.68% .32% .01%
Muncie Central 2.93% .24% .01%
10. INDIANAPOLIS ARSENAL TECH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrence North 57.80% 45.93% 11.56% 4.85%
Lawrence Central 27.93% 17.92% 1.87% .49%
North Central (Indianapolis) 9.40% 4.92% .26% .05%
Warren Central 4.87% 1.94% .05% .01%
11. PLAINFIELD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Plainfield 35.03% 21.99% 10.77% 5.53%
Pike 32.90% 22.39% 12.50% 7.12%
Ben Davis 27.93% 16.01% 6.75% 3.09%
Brownsburg 4.15% 1.39% .23% .05%
12. MOORESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Decatur Central 44.83% 16.29% 1.26% .28%
Franklin Central 25.19% 6.92% .29% .05%
Southport 19.61% 4.88% .10% .01%
Mooresville 10.38% 1.21% .01%
13. MARTINSVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Terre Haute North 61.05% 49.41% 12.30% 4.81%
Bloomington South 31.02% 19.14% 1.55% .32%
Bloomington North 7.67% 3.87% .16% .02%
Terre Haute South .26% .03%
14. COLUMBUS NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Whiteland 48.41% 17.33% 1.31% .26%
Columbus North 30.82% 6.74% .18% .02%
Franklin 11.08% 1.96% .03%
Columbus East 9.69% 1.53% .02%
15. SEYMOUR
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Albany 82.33% 65.36% 20.74% 8.79%
Jeffersonville 12.88% 6.09% .36% .05%
Seymour 4.30% 1.45% .02%
Bedford North Lawrence .50% .07%
16. EVANSVILLE NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville North 75.91% 24.11% 2.46% .52%
Evansville Reitz 12.11% 1.64% .03%
Evansville Harrison 9.12% 1.08% .01%
Castle 2.86% .20%
CLASS 3A
17. GARY WEST
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary West 54.49% 20.79% 2.10% .16%
East Chicago Central 19.13% 4.06% .12%
Hammond Noll 15.12% 2.88% .07%
Griffith 11.25% 2.00% .04%
18. HANOVER CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hanover Central 41.81% 3.41% .04%
River Forest 31.83% 2.27% .02%
Lowell 16.68% .80%
Kankakee Valley 9.68% .33%
19. NEW PRAIRIE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mishawaka Marian 68.39% 52.62% 12.91% 1.96%
Culver Academy 29.28% 17.20% 1.58% .11%
South Bend Washington 1.50% .34%
New Prairie .83% .11%
20. COLUMBIA CITY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Columbia City 67.97% 65.23% 29.24% 6.54%
NorthWood 17.78% 15.86% 2.88% .28%
Fairfield 9.09% 7.95% 1.19% .10%
Wawasee 5.16% 4.15% .32% .02%
21. DEKALB
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Blackhawk 74.95% 49.65% 18.08% 3.59%
DeKalb 13.57% 3.55% .18% .01%
Leo 7.26% 1.23% .03%
East Noble 4.22% .56% .01%
22. BELLMONT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Haven 65.49% 44.17% 12.67% 2.17%
Marion 26.09% 13.19% 1.72% .16%
Heritage 5.87% 1.84% .07%
Bellmont 2.56% .48% .01%
23. LOGANSPORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Lafayette 75.88% 36.26% 6.86% .84%
Logansport 13.31% 2.56% .04%
Northwestern 8.19% 1.26% .02%
Peru 2.62% .24%
24. NEW CASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Yorktown 47.72% 25.04% 6.94% 1.07%
Delta 27.22% 11.58% 2.01% .21%
Hamilton Heights 13.89% 4.76% .50% .04%
Connersville 11.17% 3.64% .34% .02%
25. FRANKFORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brebeuf Jesuit 62.47% 26.90% 7.96% 6.25%
Guerin Catholic 36.13% 10.68% 1.75% 1.15%
Lebanon 1.21% .09%
Danville .19% .01%
26. INDIANAPOLIS ATTUCKS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Cathedral 87.05% 59.45% 25.28% 21.73%
Indianapolis Attucks 10.83% 2.55% .16% .07%
Indianapolis Chatard 2.12% .32% .01%
Indianapolis Herron
27. SPEEDWAY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northview 73.29% 35.76% 2.65% 1.64%
Indianapolis Washington 12.38% 2.26% .02% .01%
Cascade 8.96% 1.00%
Edgewood 5.37% .47%
28. GREENWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Roncalli 47.77% 30.69% 2.99% 1.99%
Shelbyville 29.11% 18.27% 1.63% 1.06%
Greenwood 21.55% 11.18% .52% .28%
Beech Grove 1.57% .38%
29. SOUTH DEARBORN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Batesville 39.42% 3.65% .15% .05%
Jennings County 26.16% 1.99% .06% .02%
South Dearborn 23.00% 1.26% .02%
Greensburg 11.42% .53% .01%
30. MADISON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Silver Creek 84.47% 80.83% 48.32% 43.30%
Charlestown 13.17% 10.39% 1.16% .61%
Brownstown Central 2.23% 1.32% .06% .02%
Madison .13% .02%
31. WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Princeton 62.54% 41.82% 4.44% 2.97%
Jasper 28.72% 13.81% .53% .26%
Washington 5.30% 1.48% .01%
Southridge 3.44% .93% .01%
32. BOONVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Bosse 57.21% 28.65% 1.97% 1.15%
Boonville 19.14% 6.30% .15% .06%
Heritage Hills 18.72% 6.11% .15% .06%
Evansville Memorial 4.93% .89% .01%
CLASS 2A
33. BOONE GROVE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary 21st Century 88.19% 59.82% 26.66% 16.27%
Gary Lighthouse 9.47% 1.59% .05% .01%
Hebron 2.22% .26%
Wheeler .13%
34. LAVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bremen 54.24% 21.19% .59% .12%
Jimtown 43.59% 15.23% .31% .05%
Knox 1.18% .08%
Career Academy .98% .06%
35. WESTVIEW
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Westview 84.68% 35.42% 10.47% 4.95%
Lakeland 13.84% 2.78% .23% .05%
Prairie Heights 1.47% .13%
Churubusco .02%
36. BLUFFTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Luers 76.01% 55.04% 5.12% 1.79%
Bluffton 21.91% 8.13% .08% .01%
Woodlan 1.12% .15%
Whitko .96% .12%
37. DELPHI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Benton Central 45.10% 2.74% .03%
Western Boone 42.37% 1.91% .01%
North Montgomery 11.95% .37%
Rensselaer Central .58%
38. MANCHESTER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Oak Hill 95.09% 92.60% 47.75% 30.56%
Rochester 1.83% .86%
Lewis Cass 1.66% .89% .01%
Wabash 1.42% .62%
39. ELWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lapel 71.90% 57.13% 7.10% 2.81%
Sheridan 15.89% 8.61% .35% .08%
Taylor 12.17% 6.13% .20% .04%
Elwood .03%
40. EASTBROOK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wapahani 53.74% 16.60% .66% .14%
Blackford 32.40% 9.45% .33% .07%
Eastbrook 13.37% 2.06% .02%
Muncie Burris .50% .02%
41. GREENCASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Parke Heritage 94.77% 64.83% 30.74% 16.54%
South Putnam 4.51% .73% .01%
North Putnam .71% .05%
South Vermillion .01%
42. INDIANAPOLIS RITTER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
University 44.58% 20.86% 5.57% 2.26%
Indianapolis Ritter 26.59% 10.11% 1.87% .61%
Park Tudor 17.95% 5.83% .81% .22%
Covenant Christian 10.87% 2.86% .27% .06%
43. EASTERN HANCOCK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Scecina 58.62% 39.11% 14.45% 7.20%
Triton Central 31.01% 17.72% 4.65% 1.86%
Heritage Christian 8.31% 3.09% .33% .08%
KIPP Indy Legacy 2.06% .41% .01%
44. HAGERSTOWN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Centerville 71.06% 30.03% 10.67% 4.67%
Shenandoah 19.35% 3.46% .30% .06%
Hagerstown 6.03% .59% .02%
Northeastern 3.55% .30% .01%
45. SOUTHWESTERN (HANOVER)
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Austin 46.84% 21.56% .93% .14%
South Ripley 34.62% 18.04% 1.15% .21%
Southwestern (Hanover) 18.51% 7.82% .26% .03%
Switzerland County .03%
46. SALEM
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Paoli 58.11% 41.71% 13.03% 5.06%
Providence 40.36% 26.75% 6.66% 2.20%
Salem 1.24% .21%
Mitchell .29% .03%
47. NORTH KNOX
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Sullivan 44.52% 15.85% 2.44% .59%
Linton 38.84% 12.81% 1.72% .38%
South Knox 8.55% 1.37% .05% .01%
West Vigo 8.09% 1.27% .04%
48. FOREST PARK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Mater Dei 57.83% 36.17% 3.53% .82%
Forest Park 32.06% 13.87% .43% .05%
South Spencer 6.35% 1.73% .02%
North Posey 3.76% .81%
CLASS 1A
49. KOUTS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Kouts 77.00% 58.03% 37.47% 18.45%
Marquette Catholic 15.02% 8.08% 3.05% .84%
Washington Twp. 7.09% 3.06% .80% .16%
Morgan Twp. .89% .16% .01%
50. CASTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Central 36.18% 25.76% 2.76% .52%
Caston 35.06% 22.91% 1.70% .26%
DeMotte Christian 16.40% 9.92% .55% .07%
Tri-County 12.35% 6.86% .28% .03%
51. CULVER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Triton 67.06% 23.24% 9.14% 2.63%
South Central (Union Mills) 30.48% 7.21% 1.76% .33%
North Judson 2.34% .21% .01%
Argos .13%
52. BETHANY CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Canterbury 59.16% 23.84% 1.02% .11%
Bethany Christian 23.53% 6.03% .09% .01%
Lakewood Park 17.06% 4.68% .08% .01%
Fremont .25% .01%
53. FOUNTAIN CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Vermillion 49.49% 18.53% 2.28% .40%
Lafayette Central Catholic 45.08% 13.94% 1.16% .16%
Riverton Parke 4.88% .61% .01%
Covington .56% .02%
54. CLINTON CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Rossville 65.82% 49.39% 15.01% 5.05%
Frontier 18.76% 10.37% 1.28% .23%
Bethesda Christian 13.08% 6.52% .61% .09%
Carroll (Flora) 2.34% .61% .01%
55. WES-DEL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Southwood 73.88% 38.49% 8.10% 2.04%
North Miami 21.41% 6.27% .38% .04%
Tri-Central 3.64% .52% .01%
Daleville 1.07% .09%
56. CAMBRIDGE CITY LINCOLN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Monroe Central 57.33% 36.16% 9.67% 2.92%
Randolph Southern 32.69% 16.81% 2.76% .58%
Union City 8.48% 1.54% .02%
Union (Modoc) 1.49% .13%
57. INDIANA DEAF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Liberty Christian 87.67% 65.72% 16.70% 10.48%
Indianapolis Tindley 9.77% 2.82% .05% .01%
Purdue Broad Ripple 1.64% .11%
Anderson Prep .92% .05%
58. INDIANAPOLIS LUTHERAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Lutheran 57.29% 19.28% 1.71% .70%
Greenwood Christian 37.15% 11.72% .91% .35%
Providence Cristo Rey 3.50% .20%
Eminence 2.05% .10%
59. TRI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Decatur 46.84% 9.08% .73% .25%
Tri 33.24% 5.11% .26% .07%
Waldron 17.33% 2.39% .10% .02%
Edinburgh 2.59% .12%
60. MILAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hauser 82.14% 73.39% 37.00% 27.96%
Trinity Lutheran 10.30% 6.37% .72% .29%
Milan 6.85% 3.35% .18% .05%
Oldenburg Academy .70% .18%
61. WHITE RIVER VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomfield 69.56% 39.37% 9.46% 5.74%
Cloverdale 25.43% 8.67% .74% .29%
Shakamak 2.98% .39% .01%
Clay City 2.04% .22%
62. LOOGOOTEE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Barr-Reeve 48.30% 40.32% 13.44% 9.21%
Orleans 36.39% 26.98% 5.20% 2.89%
North Daviess 13.97% 9.58% 1.33% .65%
Vincennes Rivet 1.34% .46% .01%
63. BORDEN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Washington 65.38% 19.30% 1.67% .67%
Borden 24.09% 2.67% .03% .01%
Lanesville 5.33% .37%
South Central (Elizabeth) 5.20% .33%
64. WOOD MEMORIAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wood Memorial 50.31% 25.79% 4.74% 2.59%
Northeast Dubois 47.42% 25.17% 5.01% 2.82%
Tecumseh 2.06% .37% .01%
Evansville Day .21% .01%