TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and sites
Chance of less than .005% is not shown
CLASS 4A
1. EAST CHICAGO CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lake Central 38.61% 23.56% 3.19% .98%
East Chicago Central 25.67% 14.26% 1.49% .39%
Munster 16.57% 8.71% .78% .19%
Merrillville 12.64% 6.46% .54% .12%
Gary West 4.38% 1.45% .04% .01%
Hammond Central 1.26% .30%
Hammond Morton .87% .22%
2. CHESTERTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 35.60% 24.45% 3.85% 1.29%
Portage 25.50% 15.83% 1.81% .50%
Chesterton 20.55% 11.00% .82% .18%
Valparaiso 17.84% 9.86% .81% .18%
Kankakee Valley .36% .08%
Lowell .13% .01%
Hobart .02%
3. MISHAWAKA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Bend Riley 46.65% 24.83% 2.94% .83%
Mishawaka 27.02% 10.15% .54% .09%
Michigan City 18.93% 8.80% .57% .11%
South Bend Adams 4.88% .84% .01%
LaPorte 2.13% .38%
Plymouth .41% .05%
4. ELKHART
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Warsaw 31.02% 12.14% .78% .15%
Penn 29.82% 13.53% 1.20% .29%
Concord 17.36% 6.38% .36% .07%
Northridge 16.34% 5.98% .33% .06%
Elkhart 3.35% .35%
Goshen 2.11% .39% .01%
5. EAST NOBLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Carroll (Fort Wayne) 32.06% 15.58% .59% .10%
Fort Wayne North 19.29% 7.93% .18% .02%
Fort Wayne Snider 18.23% 6.03% .08% .01%
East Noble 15.53% 4.19% .03%
DeKalb 11.78% 2.79% .02%
Fort Wayne Northrop 3.11% .34%
6. HOMESTEAD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Wayne 47.17% 35.18% 2.98% .79%
Columbia City 22.79% 12.92% .33% .05%
Homestead 15.76% 9.18% .26% .04%
New Haven 8.59% 3.58% .03%
Fort Wayne South 3.32% 1.39% .01%
Huntington North 2.37% .90% .01%
7. LAFAYETTE JEFF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Kokomo 73.70% 31.46% 22.85% 13.61%
Marion 13.27% 1.23% .24% .04%
Lafayette Jeff 8.92% .66% .10% .01%
Harrison (West Lafayette) 2.53% .20% .03%
Logansport .91% .02%
McCutcheon .67% .02%
8. NOBLESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fishers 37.51% 27.55% 23.15% 16.94%
Noblesville 28.29% 18.89% 14.83% 9.81%
Westfield 24.09% 15.50% 11.82% 7.51%
Hamilton Southeastern 4.74% 1.92% .91% .34%
Carmel 4.42% 2.19% 1.32% .63%
Zionsville .95% .37% .17% .06%
9. GREENFIELD-CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Greenfield-Central 23.68% 12.86% 2.10% .70%
Mount Vernon (Fortville) 18.19% 8.89% 1.41% .46%
New Palestine 18.10% 8.83% 1.40% .46%
Richmond 17.34% 7.57% .91% .26%
Anderson 13.80% 6.55% .97% .31%
Pendleton Heights 8.49% 2.52% .12% .02%
Muncie Central .39% .06%
10. LAWRENCE NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Cathedral 44.23% 36.10% 20.87% 12.36%
Lawrence North 32.35% 25.83% 14.12% 8.01%
Indianapolis Attucks 14.75% 10.57% 4.41% 2.06%
Warren Central 4.43% 2.63% .70% .25%
North Central (Indianapolis) 2.44% 1.40% .35% .12%
Lawrence Central 1.61% .80% .14% .04%
Indianapolis Tech .19% .06%
11. SOUTHPORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Ben Davis 55.95% 37.49% 11.17% 5.13%
Decatur Central 14.57% 4.89% .29% .06%
Franklin Central 13.64% 5.50% .49% .12%
Southport 7.24% 2.28% .09% .01%
Pike 5.32% 1.72% .10% .02%
Indianapolis Roncalli 3.23% .84% .03%
Perry Meridian .04%
12. TERRE HAUTE SOUTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Avon 29.98% 5.95% .92% .24%
Brownsburg 24.80% 7.53% 2.11% .77%
Terre Haute North 23.53% 4.96% .83% .23%
Plainfield 14.78% 3.65% .77% .24%
Terre Haute South 6.91% .54% .02%
13. BLOOMINGTON NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Center Grove 57.38% 38.27% 10.07% 4.03%
Bloomington North 23.62% 9.86% .71% .14%
Bloomington South 14.09% 4.81% .20% .03%
Greenwood 3.40% .75% .01%
Martinsville .83% .09%
Mooresville .68% .14%
14. EAST CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Franklin 71.40% 39.76% 7.63% 2.55%
Whiteland 12.43% 3.97% .19% .03%
East Central 7.49% .97% .01%
Columbus North 3.34% .48%
Shelbyville 2.70% .54% .01%
Columbus East 2.65% .36%
15. SEYMOUR
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Jeffersonville 48.13% 30.88% 7.33% 2.81%
Seymour 14.61% 6.74% .49% .10%
New Albany 14.01% 5.93% .46% .10%
Jennings County 11.67% 3.71% .14% .02%
Bedford North Lawrence 7.10% 2.49% .12% .02%
Floyd Central 4.48% .97% .01%
16. EVANSVILLE NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Harrison 61.33% 37.24% 7.78% 2.78%
Evansville North 12.54% 4.65% .27% .05%
Jasper 10.21% 3.17% .12% .02%
Evansville Reitz 6.11% 1.61% .04% .01%
Castle 5.56% 1.87% .09% .01%
Evansville Central 4.26% .72% .01%
CLASS 3A
17. CALUMET
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hammond Noll 62.32% 42.01% 12.82% 4.50%
Griffith 18.80% 8.36% .96% .18%
Hanover Central 17.60% 5.25% .25% .03%
Calumet .85% .06%
River Forest .19% .01%
Highland .13% .01%
Boone Grove .09% .01%
Lake Station .01%
18. TIPPECANOE VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Tippecanoe Valley 71.46% 22.17% 3.96% .84%
Culver Academy 14.36% 3.00% .26% .04%
Bremen 7.37% .85% .02%
John Glenn 5.69% .84% .04%
Knox 1.12% .05%
19. SOUTH BEND WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Bend St. Joseph 54.96% 44.85% 22.54% 10.44%
Mishawaka Marian 24.81% 18.77% 7.53% 2.89%
Jimtown 11.72% 5.88% .79% .14%
South Bend Clay 5.93% 2.28% .16% .02%
South Bend Washington 2.54% 1.30% .14% .02%
New Prairie .05% .01%
20. LAKELAND
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
NorthWood 42.38% 21.43% 4.33% 1.14%
Fairfield 35.53% 15.92% 2.45% .54%
Lakeland 8.59% 3.09% .29% .05%
West Noble 7.98% 2.09% .10% .01%
Wawasee 5.52% 1.77% .13% .02%
21. WOODLAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Concordia 43.34% 14.72% 3.08% .69%
Fort Wayne Dwenger 16.63% 3.94% .46% .07%
Leo 15.18% 3.82% .49% .08%
Angola 11.21% 1.70% .09% .01%
Woodlan 11.16% 2.12% .17% .02%
Heritage 2.01% .22% .01%
Garrett .47% .03%
22. FRANKFORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Lafayette 26.81% 11.96% 1.02% .17%
Twin Lakes 24.15% 8.77% .45% .06%
Benton Central 19.33% 7.72% .50% .07%
Frankfort 12.70% 3.68% .08% .01%
Western 10.81% 2.91% .08% .01%
North Montgomery 4.31% .54%
Rensselaer Central 1.89% .29%
23. MISSISSINEWA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bellmont 34.18% 25.49% 4.98% 1.35%
Maconaquah 22.82% 15.62% 2.17% .48%
Norwell 10.66% 6.29% .52% .08%
Northwestern 10.25% 4.91% .21% .02%
Mississinewa 8.83% 4.66% .27% .03%
Peru 8.25% 4.62% .32% .05%
Oak Hill 5.02% 2.56% .13% .02%
24. NEW CASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Delta 38.93% 31.07% 14.40% 6.01%
Yorktown 34.19% 25.50% 9.70% 3.41%
New Castle 20.00% 14.14% 3.86% 1.04%
Hamilton Heights 4.80% 2.02% .18% .02%
Centerville .89% .31% .02%
Frankton .72% .26% .02%
Jay County .47% .15% .01%
25. LEBANON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Danville 61.95% 46.32% 4.94% 2.18%
Tri-West 17.85% 10.68% .46% .13%
Lebanon 14.38% 7.04% .11% .02%
Crawfordsville 3.19% .83%
Monrovia 2.43% .90% .01%
Western Boone .22% .03%
26. OWEN VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northview 32.04% 10.82% .25% .05%
Indian Creek 25.90% 10.81% .43% .12%
Edgewood 22.77% 7.66% .18% .04%
West Vigo 9.67% 2.37% .03%
South Vermillion 8.30% 2.39% .04% .01%
Owen Valley 1.21% .13%
Brown County .11% .01%
27. GUERIN CATHOLIC
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brebeuf Jesuit 61.54% 55.38% 34.67% 27.11%
Guerin Catholic 33.58% 26.49% 10.47% 6.34%
Heritage Christian 2.89% 1.51% .19% .06%
Indianapolis Chatard 1.98% .92% .09% .02%
Indianapolis Shortridge .01%
Indianapolis Herron
28. BEECH GROVE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Christel House 25.89% 4.96% .79% .29%
Indianapolis Washington 25.27% 3.64% .38% .11%
Purdue Poly Englewood 24.68% 4.42% .64% .22%
Indianapolis Ritter 13.98% 2.03% .22% .06%
Beech Grove 7.81% .46% .01%
Speedway 2.38% .17% .01%
29. GREENSBURG
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Batesville 35.26% 7.69% .67% .22%
Greensburg 29.95% 5.52% .36% .10%
Lawrenceburg 26.72% 4.80% .30% .08%
Connersville 3.59% .26%
South Dearborn 2.73% .21%
Franklin County 1.37% .07%
Rushville .38% .02%
30. SCOTTSBURG
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Scottsburg 77.96% 68.04% 29.10% 20.65%
Silver Creek 18.23% 11.99% 1.72% .72%
Charlestown 2.18% .95% .04% .01%
Madison 1.30% .37% .01%
Corydon Central .32% .08%
North Harrison .02%
Salem .01%
31. PRINCETON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Princeton 27.39% 15.42% 2.64% 1.38%
Heritage Hills 26.84% 15.03% 2.53% 1.32%
Vincennes Lincoln 16.96% 5.66% .31% .09%
Southridge 14.75% 6.39% .47% .16%
Washington 8.95% 3.51% .20% .06%
Pike Central 2.67% .64% .02%
North Daviess 2.44% .54% .01%
32. BOONVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Memorial 48.30% 28.86% 5.07% 2.69%
Evansville Bosse 35.42% 18.62% 2.38% 1.09%
Evansville Mater Dei 7.43% 2.76% .16% .05%
Gibson Southern 4.71% 1.52% .07% .02%
Mount Vernon (Posey) 2.78% .78% .02% .01%
Boonville 1.37% .27%
CLASS 2A
33. BOWMAN ACADEMY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary 21st Century 69.50% 57.93% 23.39% 8.02%
Andrean 16.39% 11.84% 2.78% .64%
Bowman Academy 8.20% 4.90% .62% .10%
Illiana Christian 5.41% 2.76% .22% .03%
Lighthouse CPA .39% .08%
Whiting .07%
North Newton .04% .01%
34. NORTH JUDSON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hebron 64.68% 17.82% 2.06% .30%
LaVille 18.72% 2.82% .11% .01%
North Judson 14.53% 1.75% .03%
South Central (Union Mills) 1.98% .08%
South Bend Career .07%
Wheeler .02%
35. WESTVIEW
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Westview 50.25% 34.31% 3.79% .70%
Central Noble 31.67% 17.71% .90% .11%
Churubusco 9.31% 2.61% .02%
Fremont 6.00% 2.67% .06%
Eastside 2.41% .34%
Prairie Heights .36% .04%
36. LEWIS CASS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wabash 52.71% 29.05% 2.34% .36%
Lewis Cass 24.19% 6.25% .06%
Rochester 16.82% 6.12% .14% .01%
Winamac 4.73% .77%
Pioneer 1.50% .13%
North Miami .05%
37. BLUFFTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Blackhawk 30.18% 24.02% 6.42% 2.02%
Fort Wayne Luers 27.10% 21.60% 5.81% 1.83%
Adams Central 20.52% 15.53% 3.34% .92%
Manchester 19.52% 15.36% 3.90% 1.18%
Whitko 2.47% 1.47% .13% .02%
Bluffton .20% .06%
South Adams
38. LAFAYETTE CENTRAL CATHOLIC
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lafayette Central Catholic 38.99% 10.69% .88% .14%
Clinton Prairie 36.72% 9.00% .61% .09%
Covington 9.40% .76% .01%
Carroll (Flora) 9.35% 1.00% .02%
Seeger 3.33% .37% .01%
Delphi 2.21% .13%
39. TIPTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Tipton 88.78% 52.65% 24.19% 9.38%
Blackford 3.60% .59% .02%
Taylor 3.18% .50% .02%
Eastern (Greentown) 2.38% .28%
Madison-Grant 1.64% .18%
Eastbrook .36% .03%
Elwood .06%
40. ALEXANDRIA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wapahani 64.82% 35.19% 15.95% 6.11%
Lapel 23.89% 9.44% 2.14% .50%
Winchester 4.73% .60% .02%
Alexandria 3.02% .28%
Monroe Central 2.48% .18%
Wes-Del 1.03% .06%
Muncie Burris .01%
41. HAGERSTOWN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northeastern 74.12% 33.74% 1.77% .47%
Hagerstown 9.32% 1.01%
Union County 7.73% .92%
Shenandoah 6.27% 1.08% .01%
Knightstown 2.56% .32%
42. TRITON CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Triton Central 63.55% 15.83% 1.10% .27%
Eastern Hancock 14.87% 2.55% .08% .01%
Irvington Prep 10.22% .78%
Indianapolis Riverside 5.94% .35%
Indianapolis Scecina 5.42% .65% .01%
43. SHERIDAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Park Tudor 79.36% 69.59% 22.49% 13.81%
University 10.58% 5.72% .30% .06%
Sheridan 4.92% 1.93% .04% .01%
Covenant Christian 4.59% 2.41% .12% .02%
Cascade .55% .19%
44. GREENCASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Parke Heritage 64.96% 47.32% 5.25% 2.13%
North Putnam 21.68% 10.79% .31% .06%
Greencastle 9.01% 3.61% .05% .01%
Southmont 4.07% 1.16% .01%
South Putnam .25% .05%
Cloverdale .04%
Riverton Parke
45. SOUTH RIPLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hauser 35.30% 14.21% .53% .13%
South Ripley 35.07% 12.34% .34% .07%
North Decatur 16.16% 4.22% .06% .01%
Switzerland County 13.12% 2.73% .02%
Milan .35% .03%
46. SOUTHWESTERN (HANOVER)
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brownstown Central 69.69% 65.29% 51.28% 43.10%
Providence 20.53% 15.86% 6.89% 3.80%
Southwestern (Hanover) 9.35% 6.81% 2.52% 1.24%
Austin .26% .06%
Eastern (Pekin) .13% .03%
Clarksville .03% .01%
Henryville
47. PAOLI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Linton-Stockton 42.56% 6.35% 1.32% .45%
Sullivan 21.34% 3.03% .59% .19%
South Knox 14.75% 1.04% .08% .01%
Paoli 12.27% 1.14% .12% .03%
Mitchell 7.16% .37% .02%
Eastern Greene 1.10% .02%
North Knox .83% .01%
48. FOREST PARK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Forest Park 48.98% 31.47% 1.70% .50%
North Posey 47.30% 34.26% 2.97% 1.12%
Perry Central 2.09% .47%
South Spencer .84% .20%
Crawford County .71% .09%
Tell City .09% .01%
CLASS 1A
49. KOUTS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Morgan Twp. 64.74% 44.17% 18.03% 3.43%
Demotte Christian 24.12% 9.96% 1.39% .10%
Kouts 8.84% 3.52% .46% .03%
Washington Twp. 1.28% .30% .01%
Hammond Science & Tech .84% .10%
Tri-Township .19% .01%
50. TRITON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Triton 43.08% 21.81% 5.40% .62%
Marquette Catholic 35.91% 14.31% 2.75% .25%
Westville 13.04% 4.45% .63% .05%
Argos 3.67% .84% .05%
Trinity Greenlawn 1.98% .27% .01%
Culver 1.19% .19% .01%
Oregon-Davis 1.13% .08%
51. BETHANY CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bethany Christian 41.45% 29.44% 5.80% .67%
Elkhart Christian 39.37% 27.62% 5.20% .58%
Lakewood Park 17.70% 5.83% .12%
Lakeland Christian 1.20% .14%
Hamilton .28% .01%
52. CASTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Caston 60.83% 24.37% 1.92% .11%
Tri-County 27.94% 10.23% .64% .03%
Frontier 9.99% 2.25% .04%
West Central .68% .06%
North White .47% .04%
South Newton .10% .01%
53. SOUTHERN WELLS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Canterbury 68.37% 54.09% 23.39% 5.12%
Southwood 16.99% 10.05% 1.87% .19%
Northfield 13.92% 4.37% .17% .01%
Southern Wells .71% .19%
Smith Academy .01%
54. FOUNTAIN CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fountain Central 40.02% 13.93% 2.12% .18%
Rossville 24.13% 7.79% 1.01% .08%
Faith Christian 21.17% 6.36% .71% .05%
North Vermillion 14.11% 3.16% .19% .01%
Clinton Central .58% .06%
Attica
55. TRI-CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Liberty Christian 34.81% 21.00% 7.47% 1.34%
Daleville 27.47% 13.87% 3.47% .44%
Tri-Central 25.20% 11.75% 2.51% .28%
Cowan 12.34% 4.82% .73% .06%
Anderson Prep .18% .03%
56. BLUE RIVER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Seton Catholic 51.55% 30.64% 10.97% 1.99%
Tri 19.92% 8.71% 1.77% .19%
Blue River 17.70% 6.20% .84% .06%
Union City 8.60% 2.71% .30% .02%
Cambridge City Lincoln 2.18% .28% .01%
Randolph Southern .04%
Union (Modoc)
57. WHITE RIVER VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomfield 45.96% 14.27% 1.32% .82%
Clay City 40.98% 14.31% 1.66% 1.10%
Shakamak 9.25% 1.36% .03% .01%
North Central (Farmersburg) 3.09% .25%
White River Valley .71% .04%
Dugger Union .01%
Lighthouse Christian
58. BETHESDA CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bethesda Christian 84.53% 63.28% 17.77% 14.59%
Indianapolis Metropolitan 15.31% 6.48% .36% .19%
Indianapolis International .13% .01%
Purdue Poly North .02%
Traders Point Christian .01%
Indiana Math & Science
MTI Knowledge
59. INDIANAPOLIS LUTHERAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Greenwood Christian 44.94% 36.87% 3.96% 2.75%
Indianapolis Lutheran 34.68% 29.06% 3.63% 2.62%
Indianapolis Tindley 20.38% 16.61% 1.71% 1.18%
Eminence
Providence Cristo Rey
Victory College Prep
Central Christian
60. EDINBURGH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Oldenburg Academy 50.05% 10.13% .16% .06%
South Decatur 15.77% 2.63% .03% .01%
Jac-Cen-Del 14.86% 2.47% .03% .01%
Waldron 9.65% 1.33% .01%
Edinburgh 6.60% .76%
Morristown 2.24% .11%
Southwestern (Shelbyville) .82% .03%
61. BORDEN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Borden 35.31% 6.15% .37% .21%
Christian Academy 34.94% 8.38% .83% .54%
South Central (Elizabeth) 17.34% 2.61% .13% .07%
Rock Creek Academy 9.81% .93% .02% .01%
West Washington 2.56% .20%
Lanesville .04%
62. NEW WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Trinity Lutheran 51.22% 4.20% .05% .02%
Rising Sun 24.79% .97%
New Washington 11.89% .32%
Shawe Memorial 5.90% .16%
Medora 5.17% .08%
Crothersville 1.02% .01%
63. LOOGOOTEE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Orleans 61.63% 52.28% 18.70% 16.37%
Barr-Reeve 25.53% 19.89% 4.91% 4.00%
Loogootee 12.38% 9.45% 1.75% 1.34%
Shoals .30% .06%
Springs Valley .15% .05%
Vincennes Rivet .01%
Washington Catholic
64. TECUMSEH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Christian 88.11% 85.72% 42.31% 38.07%
Wood Memorial 6.49% 4.88% .17% .07%
Northeast Dubois 3.87% 2.85% .08% .04%
Evansville Day 1.40% .75%
Tecumseh .12% .05%
Cannelton