TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and sites
Chance of less than .005% is not shown
Bold rule separates semistates
CLASS 4A
1. CROWN POINT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 94.35% 73.05% 22.85% 12.32%
Lake Central 4.80% 1.45% .03%
Munster .69% .10%
Hammond Central .14% .01%
Hammond Morton .02%
2. CHESTERTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Chesterton 62.00% 21.45% 3.36% 1.21%
Valparaiso 16.58% 1.35% .01%
Portage 13.75% 2.18% .08% .01%
Merrillville 6.12% .39%
Hobart 1.55% .04%
3. MISHAWAKA
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Bend St. Joseph 52.50% 38.05% 7.62% 3.50%
South Bend Riley 27.91% 19.55% 3.46% 1.49%
Penn 15.69% 10.16% 1.37% .51%
Michigan City 1.95% .98% .04% .01%
South Bend Adams 1.58% .48% .01%
LaPorte .34% .10%
Mishawaka .02%
4. ELKHART
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northridge 70.69% 27.39% 2.87% .92%
Warsaw 12.59% 1.63% .02%
Elkhart 10.10% .90% .01%
Goshen 6.38% .75% .01%
Concord .24% .01%
5. FORT WAYNE NORTHROP
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Snider 46.15% 5.83% .68% .13%
Carroll (Fort Wayne) 28.97% 2.66% .19% .03%
Fort Wayne North 22.11% 1.10% .03%
Fort Wayne Northrop 2.77% .05%
6. HUNTINGTON NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Homestead 35.43% 19.18% .68% .13%
Fort Wayne South 29.11% 14.73% .42% .07%
Huntington North 20.08% 9.44% .13% .02%
Fort Wayne Wayne 15.38% 5.55% .06% .01%
7. LAFAYETTE JEFF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Harrison (West Lafayette) 51.97% 29.08% 1.08% .21%
Kokomo 26.72% 13.19% .33% .05%
Lafayette Jeff 19.37% 8.54% .15% .02%
McCutcheon 1.95% .29%
8. NOBLESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fishers 58.88% 55.62% 39.52% 28.76%
Carmel 22.85% 20.11% 10.04% 5.42%
Noblesville 5.70% 4.44% 1.32% .48%
Westfield 5.24% 4.33% 1.65% .72%
Zionsville 4.14% 3.33% 1.13% .45%
Hamilton Southeastern 3.19% 2.54% .83% .32%
9. GREENFIELD-CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mount Vernon (Fortville) 72.03% 33.31% 14.34% 6.68%
Pendleton Heights 15.32% 3.96% .80% .22%
Anderson 7.08% 1.34% .18% .04%
Greenfield-Central 3.25% .29% .01%
Muncie Central 2.28% .20% .01%
Richmond .04%
10. INDIANAPOLIS ARSENAL TECH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrence North 59.90% 48.71% 11.97% 4.94%
Lawrence Central 23.48% 15.62% 1.56% .40%
North Central (Indianapolis) 10.09% 5.53% .28% .05%
Warren Central 5.96% 2.52% .06% .01%
Indianapolis Arsenal Tech .58% .16%
11. PLAINFIELD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Plainfield 34.97% 21.61% 10.41% 5.28%
Pike 32.85% 22.10% 12.17% 6.86%
Ben Davis 28.72% 16.13% 6.66% 3.01%
Brownsburg 2.72% .89% .15% .04%
Avon .74% .18% .02%
12. MOORESVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Decatur Central 34.09% 11.92% .80% .16%
Franklin Central 29.66% 8.30% .33% .05%
Center Grove 16.34% 4.01% .12% .02%
Mooresville 10.98% 1.33% .01%
Southport 7.53% 1.74% .03%
Perry Meridian 1.38% .16%
13. MARTINSVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Terre Haute North 62.78% 50.44% 12.40% 4.80%
Bloomington South 27.91% 16.97% 1.35% .27%
Bloomington North 8.58% 4.28% .18% .03%
Terre Haute South .37% .04%
Martinsville .36% .07%
14. COLUMBUS NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Whiteland 52.22% 18.84% 1.45% .29%
Columbus North 30.40% 6.65% .17% .02%
Columbus East 9.81% 1.57% .02%
Franklin 5.57% .90% .01%
East Central 2.00% .23%
15. SEYMOUR
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Albany 79.70% 63.87% 21.52% 9.42%
Jeffersonville 6.33% 2.74% .13% .02%
Floyd Central 6.07% 2.60% .12% .02%
Seymour 5.76% 1.91% .03%
Scottsburg 1.31% .31%
Bedford North Lawrence .83% .11%
16. EVANSVILLE NORTH
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville North 76.35% 25.29% 2.66% .57%
Evansville Reitz 11.59% 1.71% .03%
Evansville Harrison 9.31% 1.25% .02%
Castle 2.75% .22%
CLASS 3A
17. GARY WEST
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary West 52.18% 19.30% 2.08% .17%
Hammond Noll 18.40% 3.56% .10%
East Chicago Central 16.16% 3.24% .10%
Griffith 13.14% 2.36% .06%
Highland .09%
Calumet .03%
18. HANOVER CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
River Forest 33.21% 2.56% .03%
Hanover Central 20.85% 1.75% .02%
Illiana Christian 19.51% 1.59% .02%
Lowell 16.79% .85%
Kankakee Valley 9.64% .34%
19. NEW PRAIRIE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mishawaka Marian 73.33% 57.03% 15.01% 2.47%
Culver Academy 23.63% 13.93% 1.35% .10%
New Prairie 1.22% .17%
South Bend Washington 1.13% .24%
Plymouth .63% .16%
John Glenn .06%
20. COLUMBIA CITY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Columbia City 64.10% 61.43% 27.59% 6.47%
NorthWood 20.31% 18.17% 3.55% .39%
Fairfield 10.67% 9.36% 1.51% .14%
Wawasee 4.74% 3.84% .33% .02%
Tippecanoe Valley .11% .06%
West Noble .07% .04%
21. DEKALB
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Blackhawk 54.07% 36.73% 13.78% 2.94%
DeKalb 17.99% 5.50% .38% .02%
Angola 13.42% 6.01% .90% .09%
Fort Wayne Dwenger 5.13% .97% .03%
Leo 4.16% .73% .02%
Fort Wayne Concordia 2.94% .46% .01%
East Noble 2.18% .31%
Garrett .10% .01%
22. BELLMONT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Haven 56.59% 39.62% 12.74% 2.42%
Marion 28.77% 15.36% 2.27% .23%
Norwell 4.86% 1.84% .11% .01%
Bellmont 3.82% .84% .01%
Heritage 3.40% 1.18% .06%
Mississinewa 2.57% .83% .03%
23. LOGANSPORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Lafayette 65.33% 33.63% 7.50% 1.04%
Logansport 18.55% 4.07% .09%
Western 6.57% 1.32% .04%
Northwestern 6.19% 1.01% .02%
Peru 2.25% .22%
Twin Lakes .81% .07%
Maconaquah .30% .01%
24. NEW CASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Delta 32.48% 16.02% 3.05% .36%
Yorktown 32.39% 19.09% 5.62% .96%
Connersville 13.92% 5.40% .57% .04%
Jay County 8.97% 3.94% .56% .05%
Hamilton Heights 6.38% 2.36% .22% .02%
New Castle 5.85% 2.47% .22% .02%
25. FRANKFORT
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brebeuf Jesuit 48.73% 26.51% 7.15% 5.57%
Guerin Catholic 44.73% 19.19% 3.19% 2.16%
Tri-West 4.18% 1.05% .06% .03%
Lebanon 1.93% .24%
Crawfordsville .32% .02%
Danville .10%
Frankfort
26. INDIANAPOLIS ATTUCKS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Cathedral 68.21% 44.44% 15.14% 12.52%
Indianapolis Attucks 19.56% 5.28% .32% .16%
Indianapolis Shortridge 9.12% 2.74% .21% .11%
Indianapolis Chatard 2.99% .52% .01%
Purdue Englewood .12% .01%
Indianapolis Herron .01%
27. SPEEDWAY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northview 76.36% 38.98% 3.64% 2.31%
Cascade 9.45% 1.18%
Indianapolis Washington 7.86% 1.49% .01%
Edgewood 5.07% .51%
Speedway 1.24% .12%
Owen Valley .01%
28. GREENWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Shelbyville 35.17% 21.94% 2.49% 1.67%
Indianapolis Roncalli 32.84% 20.65% 2.41% 1.63%
Greenwood 21.40% 10.66% .59% .32%
New Palestine 8.80% 4.06% .18% .09%
Beech Grove 1.74% .41%
Indian Creek .03%
Rushville .03%
29. SOUTH DEARBORN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Batesville 42.95% 4.08% .22% .08%
South Dearborn 25.15% 1.43% .03% .01%
Jennings County 22.35% 1.80% .07% .02%
Greensburg 8.64% .40% .01%
Franklin County .60% .01%
Lawrenceburg .31%
30. MADISON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Silver Creek 87.08% 83.18% 54.66% 49.35%
Charlestown 7.63% 5.96% .82% .45%
Corydon Central 3.35% 2.12% .17% .07%
Brownstown Central 1.71% .96% .05% .02%
Madison .16% .02%
North Harrison .07% .02%
31. WASHINGTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Princeton 63.50% 43.03% 5.32% 3.64%
Gibson Southern 14.37% 7.04% .32% .16%
Jasper 13.58% 6.55% .29% .14%
Southridge 3.53% 1.00% .01%
Washington 2.66% .76% .01%
Vincennes Lincoln 2.36% .66% .01%
32. BOONVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Bosse 53.03% 26.66% 2.19% 1.33%
Heritage Hills 22.22% 7.30% .22% .09%
Boonville 15.74% 5.40% .18% .08%
Evansville Memorial 6.48% 1.18% .01%
Mount Vernon (Posey) 2.05% .37%
Evansville Central .49% .05%
CLASS 2A
33. BOONE GROVE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Gary 21st Century 87.98% 57.74% 25.78% 15.20%
Gary Lighthouse 4.16% .59% .02%
Andrean 3.46% .46% .01%
Hebron 3.18% .36% .01%
Boone Grove 1.10% .05%
Lake Station .07%
Wheeler .04%
Whiting
34. LAVILLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bremen 42.39% 15.87% .56% .11%
Jimtown 34.28% 11.41% .29% .05%
Winamac 17.22% 4.65% .07% .01%
LaVille 4.73% .62%
Career Academy 1.22% .08%
Knox .16% .01%
35. WESTVIEW
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Westview 83.84% 37.35% 12.09% 5.77%
Lakeland 15.23% 3.37% .32% .07%
Prairie Heights .79% .07%
Eastside .07%
Central Noble .06%
Churubusco
36. BLUFFTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Luers 80.81% 60.72% 6.88% 2.46%
Bluffton 15.01% 5.88% .07% .01%
South Adams 1.79% .42%
Woodlan 1.52% .23%
Whitko .66% .09%
Adams Central .21% .02%
37. DELPHI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Benton Central 31.64% 2.71% .04%
Seeger 27.61% 2.68% .05%
Delphi 22.79% 1.34% .01%
Western Boone 15.33% .94% .01%
North Montgomery 2.24% .09%
Rensselaer Central .40%
38. MANCHESTER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Oak Hill 89.93% 86.91% 45.74% 28.41%
Eastern (Greentown) 4.19% 2.54% .06% .01%
Lewis Cass 2.32% 1.16% .01%
Rochester 2.07% .91% .01%
Manchester 1.00% .53% .01%
Wabash .49% .18%
39. ELWOOD
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lapel 49.32% 37.89% 4.91% 1.81%
Sheridan 24.32% 13.48% .77% .18%
Taylor 12.67% 6.53% .31% .06%
Frankton 12.55% 6.18% .26% .05%
Tipton 1.08% .30%
Elwood .05%
40. EASTBROOK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wapahani 52.48% 20.26% 1.06% .23%
Alexandria 19.26% 7.55% .41% .09%
Blackford 13.99% 4.95% .21% .04%
Eastbrook 13.63% 2.82% .04%
Madison-Grant .47% .03%
Muncie Burris .17% .01%
41. GREENCASTLE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Parke Heritage 81.77% 55.69% 26.90% 15.37%
Greencastle 11.61% 4.24% .39% .08%
South Putnam 4.43% .68% .01%
North Putnam 1.39% .10%
Southmont .78% .06%
South Vermillion .02%
42. INDIANAPOLIS RITTER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
University 38.61% 17.65% 4.55% 1.89%
Park Tudor 23.12% 7.69% 1.13% .33%
Indianapolis Ritter 19.05% 7.22% 1.33% .45%
Covenant Christian 14.26% 3.78% .37% .09%
Indianapolis Riverside 4.07% .95% .07% .02%
Monrovia .89% .12%
43. EASTERN HANCOCK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Scecina 62.37% 43.08% 15.98% 8.30%
Triton Central 24.39% 15.00% 4.23% 1.86%
Heritage Christian 6.42% 2.55% .28% .07%
Eastern Hancock 4.29% 1.42% .11% .02%
KIPP Indy Legacy 1.67% .34% .01%
Christel House .83% .19% .01%
Irvington Prep .01%
44. HAGERSTOWN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Centerville 71.68% 33.85% 12.40% 5.87%
Shenandoah 20.00% 4.36% .39% .08%
Hagerstown 5.96% .78% .02%
Northeastern 1.98% .21%
Winchester .38% .03%
Union County
45. SOUTHWESTERN (HANOVER)
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Austin 46.19% 20.09% .87% .14%
South Ripley 38.68% 19.59% 1.32% .27%
Southwestern (Hanover) 14.99% 5.79% .18% .02%
Brown County .10% .01%
Switzerland County .04%
46. SALEM
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Paoli 57.35% 42.22% 13.76% 5.85%
Providence 41.19% 27.97% 7.17% 2.59%
Salem 1.12% .20%
Mitchell .27% .03%
Crawford County .04%
Clarksville .01%
Eastern (Pekin) .01%
47. NORTH KNOX
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Sullivan 51.44% 18.08% 2.86% .76%
Linton 24.36% 7.58% .97% .22%
South Knox 10.12% 1.56% .06% .01%
West Vigo 7.07% 1.04% .03%
Eastern Greene 6.85% 1.30% .07% .01%
North Knox .16% .01%
48. FOREST PARK
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Mater Dei 56.64% 36.03% 3.83% 1.01%
Forest Park 34.01% 16.18% .68% .11%
South Spencer 6.25% 1.70% .02%
North Posey 2.47% .53%
Perry Central .54% .07%
Pike Central .06%
Tell City .02%
CLASS 1A
49. KOUTS
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Kouts 69.03% 52.38% 33.17% 16.30%
Marquette Catholic 18.29% 10.34% 3.96% 1.14%
Washington Twp. 9.51% 4.47% 1.24% .27%
Bowman Academy 2.39% .82% .13% .02%
Morgan Twp. .79% .13% .01%
Westville
Hammond Science & Tech
Tri-Township
50. CASTON
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Central 41.18% 30.13% 4.16% .88%
Caston 35.53% 22.92% 1.88% .29%
DeMotte Christian 13.40% 8.03% .50% .06%
Tri-County 9.34% 5.03% .22% .02%
South Newton .29% .07%
Pioneer .24% .06%
North Newton .02%
North White
51. CULVER
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Triton 67.65% 24.93% 9.52% 2.73%
South Central (Union Mills) 24.34% 6.15% 1.42% .26%
Elkhart Christian 4.65% .59% .05%
North Judson 1.64% .14%
Culver .79% .03%
Trinity Academy .71% .03%
Argos .12%
Oregon-Davis .09%
52. BETHANY CHRISTIAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Fort Wayne Canterbury 60.93% 24.01% 1.21% .14%
Bethany Christian 19.65% 4.70% .07%
Lakewood Park 18.97% 5.03% .10% .01%
Fremont .24% .01%
Lakeland Christian .20% .01%
Smith Academy
Hamilton
53. FOUNTAIN CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Vermillion 41.87% 15.07% 1.87% .31%
Lafayette Central Catholic 29.37% 8.06% .58% .07%
Faith Christian 12.90% 2.46% .09% .01%
Riverton Parke 7.42% .96% .02%
Fountain Central 7.25% 1.00% .02%
Covington 1.07% .04%
Attica .11%
54. CLINTON CENTRAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Rossville 68.44% 54.79% 17.90% 6.09%
Frontier 17.82% 10.75% 1.29% .21%
Bethesda Christian 10.17% 5.68% .53% .07%
Carroll (Flora) 2.80% .97% .02%
Clinton Prairie .74% .22%
Clinton Central .03%
Traders Point Christian
55. WES-DEL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Southwood 63.21% 35.41% 8.08% 2.12%
North Miami 24.01% 7.14% .40% .04%
Cowan 4.22% .87% .02%
Tri-Central 3.87% .61% .01%
Wes-Del 3.51% .43%
Northfield .72% .07%
Daleville .43% .03%
Southern Wells .03%
56. CAMBRIDGE CITY LINCOLN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Monroe Central 53.46% 33.64% 8.16% 2.24%
Randolph Southern 36.65% 20.02% 3.34% .69%
Union City 5.68% 1.22% .02%
Seton Catholic 2.30% .37%
Union (Modoc) 1.73% .18%
Blue River Valley .14% .01%
Cambridge City Lincoln .03%
57. INDIANA DEAF
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Liberty Christian 91.77% 75.11% 25.08% 17.28%
Indianapolis Tindley 6.23% 1.97% .04% .01%
Purdue Broad Ripple 1.05% .08%
Anderson Prep .65% .04%
Indiana Math & Science .26% .03%
Indiana Deaf .03%
International .01%
MTI Knowledge
58. INDIANAPOLIS LUTHERAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Greenwood Christian 37.68% 8.57% .59% .21%
Indianapolis Lutheran 32.11% 7.82% .61% .23%
Indianapolis Metropolitan 23.73% 6.14% .54% .21%
Providence Cristo Rey 4.42% .18%
Eminence 2.02% .07%
Victory College Prep .03%
Central Christian .02%
59. TRI
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Decatur 25.99% 4.93% .28% .09%
Tri 21.83% 3.55% .15% .04%
Morristown 16.94% 3.08% .16% .05%
Waldron 16.86% 2.28% .07% .02%
North Decatur 13.77% 1.99% .07% .02%
Knightstown 3.25% .21%
Edinburgh 1.30% .06%
Southwestern (Shelbyville) .06%
60. MILAN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hauser 80.21% 72.25% 32.35% 24.23%
Trinity Lutheran 10.52% 6.75% .63% .25%
Milan 8.47% 4.69% .26% .08%
Oldenburg Academy .49% .14%
Jac-Cen-Del .27% .06%
Rising Sun .03%
Crothersville .02%
Shawe Memorial
61. WHITE RIVER VALLEY
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomfield 68.08% 39.45% 9.45% 5.80%
Cloverdale 22.75% 8.19% .69% .28%
Shakamak 4.19% .61% .01%
Clay City 3.09% .39%
White River Valley 1.34% .13%
North Central (Farmersburg) .55% .05%
Lighthouse Christian .01%
Dugger Union
62. LOOGOOTEE
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Orleans 45.11% 35.96% 7.82% 4.67%
Barr-Reeve 30.79% 26.20% 8.15% 5.54%
North Daviess 16.23% 11.96% 1.77% .91%
Loogootee 6.59% 4.34% .39% .17%
Vincennes Rivet 1.25% .48% .01%
Shoals .02%
Medora .01%
Washington Catholic
63. BORDEN
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Washington 41.12% 12.40% .96% .38%
Henryville 22.72% 5.07% .22% .07%
Borden 16.26% 1.88% .02%
Christian Academy 8.34% .92% .01%
South Central (Elizabeth) 6.33% .46%
Lanesville 3.63% .25%
Rock Creek Academy 1.49% .07%
New Washington .11%
64. WOOD MEMORIAL
SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northeast Dubois 48.70% 27.00% 5.61% 3.26%
Wood Memorial 43.83% 22.73% 4.02% 2.19%
Tecumseh 3.44% .66% .01%
Evansville Christian 2.29% .55% .02%
Springs Valley 1.35% .21%
Evansville Day .39% .02%
Cannelton