TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and home field
Chance of less than 0.005% is not shown
CLASS 6A
SECTIONAL 1SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 45.92% 29.01% 5.70% .36%
Merrillville 27.42% 11.45% .92% .02%
Lake Central 12.61% 1.27% .01%
Harrison (West Lafayette) 11.85% 1.08% .01%
SECTIONAL 2SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Penn 49.90% 37.99% 9.75% .89%
Elkhart 25.13% 7.55% .24%
Valparaiso 19.67% 7.55% .42% .01%
Portage 3.47% .11%
SECTIONAL 3SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Westfield 39.31% 32.45% 28.98% 10.04%
Carmel 29.32% 21.66% 18.19% 4.35%
Hamilton Southeastern 20.76% 9.72% 5.33% .35%
Fishers 8.45% 2.03% .53% .01%
SECTIONAL 4SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Carroll (Fort Wayne) 51.98% 25.58% 20.75% 4.23%
Homestead 19.15% 2.18% .68% .01%
Fort Wayne Northrop 13.65% 1.01% .22%
Noblesville 13.21% 1.26% .34% .01%
SECTIONAL 5SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brownsburg 55.47% 48.46% 41.32% 34.78%
Ben Davis 15.98% 6.60% 1.65% .51%
Avon 14.67% 5.71% 1.27% .35%
Zionsville 11.92% 4.67% 1.05% .29%
SECTIONAL 6SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrence North 57.47% 27.66% 17.30% 11.56%
North Central (Indianapolis) 18.00% 1.79% .20% .03%
Pike 11.54% .53% .03%
Lawrence Central 11.09% .75% .06% .01%
SECTIONAL 7SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Warren Central 59.58% 43.85% 16.98% 10.96%
Decatur Central 20.30% 7.06% .68% .13%
Franklin Central 13.66% 4.31% .32% .05%
Perry Meridian 4.21% .49%
Southport .13%
SECTIONAL 8SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Center Grove 67.26% 38.45% 11.88% 6.51%
Columbus North 21.63% 2.09% .05%
Whiteland 6.71% .22%
Jeffersonville 3.00% .02%
CLASS 5A
SECTIONAL 9SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Chesterton 42.91% 18.20% 1.93% .08%
Munster 34.81% 7.29% .21%
Michigan City 17.22% 2.35% .04%
Hammond Central 3.32% .01%
SECTIONAL 10SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Concord 42.08% 37.56% 12.53% 2.04%
South Bend Adams 26.01% 19.47% 2.76% .16%
LaPorte 15.78% 6.23% .18%
Goshen 13.92% 4.98% .12%
SECTIONAL 11SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Warsaw 47.04% 34.09% 29.04% 10.54%
Fort Wayne Snider 33.54% 19.98% 15.64% 3.91%
Fort Wayne South 11.95% 2.20% .93% .04%
Fort Wayne Wayne 5.74% .30% .06%
SECTIONAL 12SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lafayette Jeff 55.35% 27.60% 21.69% 5.52%
Huntington North 27.99% 10.04% 6.81% 1.04%
McCutcheon 14.90% 2.77% 1.25% .07%
Anderson .44%
SECTIONAL 13SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Palestine 35.79% 31.69% 17.79% 13.25%
Indianapolis Cathedral 34.56% 27.36% 11.15% 6.82%
Pendleton Heights 20.42% 14.24% 4.39% 2.19%
Mount Vernon (Fortville) 4.05% .83% .04%
Greenfield-Central 2.16% .28% .01%
SECTIONAL 14SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Plainfield 57.37% 16.29% 3.93% 1.61%
Terre Haute South 36.36% 5.22% .60% .13%
Terre Haute North 3.75% .01%
Indianapolis Arsenal Tech 1.43%
SECTIONAL 15SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomington South 65.59% 54.94% 39.74% 31.50%
Bloomington North 20.43% 2.59% .24% .03%
Franklin 7.78% .39% .01%
Seymour 4.62% .09%
SECTIONAL 16SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville North 41.19% 15.71% 5.43% 2.46%
Floyd Central 32.39% 14.61% 6.89% 4.01%
Castle 23.27% 8.47% 2.64% 1.10%
New Albany 1.53% .02%
CLASS 4A
SECTIONAL 17SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hobart 35.01% 11.89% 1.46% .07%
Lowell 24.89% 8.06% .90% .04%
Hammond Morton 20.59% 7.36% 1.00% .05%
Hanover Central 7.84% 1.25% .04%
Highland 3.53% .10%
East Chicago Central 1.14%
Kankakee Valley .96%
Gary West .93% .01%
SECTIONAL 18SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northridge 34.70% 31.22% 17.65% 5.64%
South Bend St. Joseph 21.18% 15.63% 3.99% .44%
NorthWood 13.01% 5.94% .55% .02%
Mishawaka 8.00% 4.30% .54% .03%
Culver Academy 7.40% 1.72% .06%
Plymouth 5.95% 1.44% .05%
New Prairie 2.07% .18%
South Bend Riley 1.90% .26%
SECTIONAL 19SECTREGNSEMISTATE
East Noble 28.08% 23.04% 16.71% 6.20%
Fort Wayne Dwenger 17.65% 12.67% 7.89% 1.86%
Columbia City 16.49% 12.64% 8.45% 2.45%
DeKalb 13.82% 8.07% 4.09% .57%
Leo 9.31% 5.72% 3.04% .48%
Fort Wayne North 6.47% 2.82% 1.06% .08%
New Haven 1.57% .22% .02%
Wawasee .94% .10% .01%
SECTIONAL 20SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Logansport 32.13% 13.58% 7.95% 1.59%
Yorktown 21.12% 6.16% 2.97% .37%
Muncie Central 13.00% 2.03% .68% .04%
Delta 9.26% .93% .22% .01%
Kokomo 6.40% .44% .08%
Jay County 6.21% .17% .01%
Fort Wayne Luers 5.70% .39% .07%
Marion .47%
SECTIONAL 21SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Chatard 36.93% 31.03% 17.00% 10.54%
Danville 18.56% 11.56% 2.85% .92%
Northview 18.10% 9.83% 1.81% .42%
Brebeuf Jesuit 13.82% 6.24% .81% .12%
Lebanon 4.88% 1.68% .14% .01%
Guerin Catholic 3.16% .99% .07%
Indianapolis Shortridge .08%
Frankfort .04%
SECTIONAL 22SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Roncalli 43.91% 23.88% 7.91% 3.39%
Beech Grove 15.77% 2.46% .22% .02%
Mooresville 14.08% 1.89% .15% .01%
Greenwood 8.14% .41% .01%
Connersville 5.03% .25% .01%
Richmond 3.20% .06%
Martinsville 3.14% .07%
Indianapolis Attucks 1.29% .01%
SECTIONAL 23SECTREGNSEMISTATE
East Central 67.72% 53.76% 36.71% 23.26%
Shelbyville 9.49% 2.25% .24% .02%
Columbus East 6.93% 1.31% .10% .01%
Charlestown 5.29% .82% .05%
Silver Creek 3.67% .39% .01%
Madison 1.82% .06%
Jennings County 1.19%
SECTIONAL 24SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Reitz 40.75% 19.95% 11.20% 5.83%
Jasper 16.23% 5.20% 1.62% .43%
Heritage Hills 10.65% 2.90% .63% .11%
Evansville Harrison 10.14% 1.90% .18% .01%
Bedford North Lawrence 6.82% .89% .04%
Boonville 6.67% .98% .06%
Evansville Central 2.14% .12%
Evansville Bosse .86% .04%
CLASS 3A
SECTIONAL 25SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Andrean 34.25% 24.96% 15.15% 3.45%
Griffith 31.80% 22.53% 13.18% 2.77%
Twin Lakes 19.28% 5.68% 1.20% .05%
Calumet 6.79% .50% .02%
Hammond Noll 1.55% .02%
River Forest 1.24% .01%
Benton Central 1.00%
SECTIONAL 26SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Noble 29.45% 14.69% 7.16% 1.04%
Angola 20.63% 9.25% 4.00% .47%
Fairfield 14.57% 4.60% 1.27% .07%
Tippecanoe Valley 12.52% 4.48% 1.47% .11%
Jimtown 9.67% 2.84% .71% .04%
Mishawaka Marian 5.35% .94% .11%
John Glenn 2.15% .18% .01%
South Bend Washington .19%
SECTIONAL 27SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bluffton 27.13% 22.83% 14.38% 3.91%
Adams Central 20.33% 14.75% 6.65% .98%
Norwell 18.99% 13.21% 5.47% .71%
Heritage 15.83% 9.48% 2.99% .26%
Garrett 4.77% 1.68% .23% .01%
Fort Wayne Concordia 3.69% .90% .07%
Bellmont 2.00% .25% .01%
Woodlan 1.71% .21% .01%
SECTIONAL 28SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mississinewa 20.86% 8.24% 2.83% .27%
Maconaquah 19.97% 6.62% 1.86% .14%
Hamilton Heights 17.32% 5.63% 1.55% .11%
West Lafayette 16.53% 4.29% .91% .04%
Western 10.23% .67% .03%
Eastbrook 6.26% .68% .05%
Northwestern 3.76% .22% .01%
SECTIONAL 29SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Tri-West 48.88% 29.50% 9.85% 5.60%
Western Boone 23.85% 6.75% .53% .11%
Speedway 9.47% .92% .02%
North Montgomery 7.19% .30%
Purdue Englewood 3.03% .09%
Crawfordsville 2.00% .05%
Heritage Christian .93% .01%
Indianapolis Washington .15%
SECTIONAL 30SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrenceburg 38.00% 29.71% 13.92% 9.31%
Batesville 23.79% 12.84% 2.38% .95%
Franklin County 15.41% 6.00% .50% .11%
Centerville 6.66% 1.96% .09% .01%
Greensburg 4.92% 1.22% .04%
New Castle 4.31% 1.14% .04%
South Dearborn 1.37% .13%
Rushville .45% .02%
SECTIONAL 31SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indian Creek 52.71% 21.30% 11.79% 7.17%
Vincennes Lincoln 15.14% 2.01% .48% .13%
Sullivan 11.54% .56% .04%
Edgewood 5.51% .30% .03%
Scottsburg 4.42% .08%
Owen Valley 4.09% .09%
Washington 1.51% .01%
SECTIONAL 32SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Memorial 42.67% 35.97% 27.65% 20.75%
Evansville Mater Dei 33.46% 20.95% 10.72% 6.14%
Gibson Southern 15.42% 9.28% 4.48% 2.45%
Southridge 1.81% .39% .03%
Mount Vernon (Posey) 1.36% .11%
Corydon Central 1.07% .07%
North Harrison .14%
Princeton .08%
CLASS 2A
SECTIONAL 33SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wheeler 28.22% 7.54% 2.32% .12%
Rensselaer Central 23.94% 4.78% .98% .03%
Knox 21.52% 3.93% .70% .02%
LaVille 15.03% 1.27% .07%
Boone Grove 4.33% .29% .01%
Whiting 2.26% .06%
Lake Station .40%
SECTIONAL 34SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Eastside 54.68% 51.06% 34.99% 11.39%
Bremen 18.44% 15.07% 6.45% .65%
Lakeland 7.97% 3.28% .48% .01%
Rochester 7.16% 2.69% .34% .01%
Manchester 2.78% .38% .01%
Central Noble 2.41% .28% .01%
Prairie Heights 1.60% .33% .02%
SECTIONAL 35SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Oak Hill 22.79% 5.92% 1.01% .03%
Eastern (Greentown) 19.98% 7.09% 1.77% .10%
Lewis Cass 16.31% 4.84% .97% .04%
Tipton 11.71% 2.95% .49% .01%
Peru 10.04% 2.06% .27% .01%
Seeger 8.05% .81% .05%
Delphi 4.17% .11%
Elwood .88%
SECTIONAL 36SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lapel 49.24% 44.54% 26.01% 7.26%
Hagerstown 15.09% 8.61% 1.80% .07%
Alexandria 10.31% 6.17% 1.38% .06%
Northeastern 6.78% 3.10% .50% .01%
Shenandoah 5.13% 1.18% .09%
Winchester 4.45% .89% .06%
Frankton 3.23% .57% .03%
Blackford .38% .01%
SECTIONAL 37SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Eastern Hancock 59.27% 35.02% 27.03% 16.71%
Indianapolis Lutheran 17.36% 4.46% 1.55% .29%
Triton Central 10.37% 2.09% .56% .07%
Indianapolis Ritter 4.09% .45% .07%
Covenant Christian 2.45% .18% .02%
Indianapolis Scecina 1.59% .08% .01%
Park Tudor .48% .01%
Christel House .04%
SECTIONAL 38SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Putnam 45.17% 34.01% 28.24% 19.65%
Cascade 21.55% 10.24% 6.34% 2.78%
Monrovia 10.94% 2.20% .60% .08%
North Putnam 9.74% 1.45% .30% .03%
Southmont 3.16% .23% .03%
Greencastle 2.65% .14% .01%
South Vermillion 1.09% .02%
West Vigo .40%
SECTIONAL 39SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brownstown Central 59.58% 53.74% 15.30% 6.70%
Salem 18.40% 7.87% .27% .02%
Clarksville 7.19% .93%
Switzerland County 4.91% .42%
Providence 2.41% .34%
Eastern (Pekin) 1.72% .06%
Mitchell 1.06% .02%
Brown County .08%
SECTIONAL 40SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Posey 47.89% 18.12% 1.61% .25%
South Spencer 18.30% 4.84% .15% .01%
Tell City 10.79% 2.24% .04%
Linton 8.68% 1.17% .01%
Paoli 6.49% .83%
Eastern Greene 2.04% .11%
Perry Central .51% .01%
Pike Central .39%
CLASS 1A
SECTIONAL 41SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Judson 46.98% 39.95% 21.97% 11.99%
West Central 15.86% 6.25% .79% .09%
Winamac 15.01% 5.71% .68% .07%
North Newton 6.26% 1.15% .04%
Culver 4.24% .64% .01%
Bowman Academy 4.02% .55% .01%
Triton 1.63% .15%
South Central (Union Mills) .77% .04%
SECTIONAL 42SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lafayette Central Catholic 48.41% 23.57% 6.46% 1.72%
Carroll (Flora) 25.89% 10.28% 1.83% .31%
Clinton Prairie 11.22% 2.46% .14% .01%
Frontier 5.11% .28%
North White 4.12% .18%
Faith Christian .99% .01%
Tri-County .51%
SECTIONAL 43SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Pioneer 42.28% 27.29% 17.90% 9.81%
Madison-Grant 19.59% 7.66% 3.13% .85%
Caston 14.64% 4.47% 1.41% .26%
Sheridan 10.83% 2.76% .71% .10%
North Miami 3.81% .41% .04%
Clinton Central 3.67% .14%
Taylor .30%
Tri-Central .10%
SECTIONAL 44SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Adams 35.95% 25.64% 17.61% 10.30%
Fremont 29.01% 15.93% 8.44% 3.39%
Northfield 13.74% 3.76% .99% .14%
Fort Wayne Blackhawk 6.76% 1.00% .14% .01%
Churubusco 6.37% 1.34% .27% .03%
Southwood 1.49% .06%
Southern Wells 1.15% .04%
Whitko .60% .01%
SECTIONAL 45SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wes-Del 37.23% 14.38% 6.00% 1.32%
Knightstown 34.70% 15.13% 7.13% 1.89%
Tri 14.76% 1.90% .18% .01%
Monroe Central 7.55% .66% .03%
Cambridge City Lincoln .57% .01%
Indianapolis Tindley .47%
Union City .44% .02%
SECTIONAL 46SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Milan 66.82% 52.92% 34.51% 15.53%
North Decatur 22.45% 8.31% 2.09% .22%
South Decatur 3.88% .30% .01%
Union County 2.83% .06%
Edinburgh 1.30% .01%
Trinity Lutheran .58% .01%
SECTIONAL 47SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Riverton Parke 46.10% 37.82% 21.76% 9.31%
Cloverdale 24.55% 13.49% 3.26% .49%
Fountain Central 7.45% 1.45% .08%
North Central (Farmersburg) 6.01% 1.19% .07%
Parke Heritage 5.97% 1.15% .06%
Covington 3.21% .08%
North Vermillion 1.50% .06%
Attica .23%
SECTIONAL 48SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Daviess 22.41% 12.38% 5.06% 1.42%
North Knox 21.50% 5.19% .49% .02%
Tecumseh 17.05% 8.20% 2.65% .56%
Springs Valley 13.93% 5.18% 1.05% .13%
Forest Park 11.96% 2.05% .11%
West Washington 8.29% 2.24% .26% .02%
Crawford County .09%