TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and home field
Chance of less than 0.005% is not shown
CLASS 6A
SECTIONAL 1SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Crown Point 45.92% 29.21% 5.73% .36%
Merrillville 27.48% 11.61% .94% .02%
Lake Central 12.63% 1.30% .01%
Harrison (West Lafayette) 11.80% 1.09% .01%
SECTIONAL 2SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Penn 49.80% 37.72% 9.53% .85%
Elkhart 25.08% 7.46% .24%
Valparaiso 19.80% 7.58% .42% .01%
Portage 3.51% .11%
SECTIONAL 3SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Westfield 39.30% 32.47% 29.06% 10.07%
Carmel 29.35% 21.70% 18.28% 4.38%
Hamilton Southeastern 20.77% 9.74% 5.38% .35%
Fishers 8.46% 2.04% .53% .01%
SECTIONAL 4SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Carroll (Fort Wayne) 52.00% 25.56% 20.80% 4.23%
Homestead 19.17% 2.18% .68% .01%
Fort Wayne Northrop 13.64% 1.00% .22%
Noblesville 13.22% 1.26% .34% .01%
SECTIONAL 5SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brownsburg 55.49% 48.49% 41.38% 34.88%
Ben Davis 15.97% 6.59% 1.65% .51%
Avon 14.68% 5.71% 1.27% .35%
Zionsville 11.93% 4.68% 1.06% .29%
SECTIONAL 6SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrence North 57.46% 27.67% 17.33% 11.60%
North Central (Indianapolis) 18.06% 1.81% .20% .03%
Pike 11.52% .53% .03%
Lawrence Central 11.08% .74% .06% .01%
SECTIONAL 7SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Warren Central 59.63% 43.88% 16.98% 10.97%
Decatur Central 20.24% 7.03% .68% .12%
Franklin Central 13.74% 4.33% .32% .05%
Perry Meridian 4.19% .48%
Southport .13%
SECTIONAL 8SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Center Grove 67.22% 38.46% 11.89% 6.52%
Columbus North 21.77% 2.13% .05%
Whiteland 6.67% .22%
Jeffersonville 2.96% .02%
CLASS 5A
SECTIONAL 9SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Chesterton 42.89% 18.41% 1.96% .08%
Munster 34.90% 7.43% .22%
Michigan City 17.22% 2.39% .04%
Hammond Central 3.27% .01%
SECTIONAL 10SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Concord 42.18% 37.58% 12.41% 1.96%
South Bend Adams 25.81% 19.14% 2.63% .15%
LaPorte 15.93% 6.27% .18%
Goshen 13.91% 4.91% .11%
SECTIONAL 11SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Warsaw 46.92% 33.81% 28.85% 10.25%
Fort Wayne Snider 33.62% 19.99% 15.71% 3.87%
Fort Wayne South 11.98% 2.19% .94% .04%
Fort Wayne Wayne 5.77% .30% .06%
SECTIONAL 12SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lafayette Jeff 55.50% 27.97% 22.13% 5.60%
Huntington North 27.70% 9.90% 6.73% 1.00%
McCutcheon 15.06% 2.85% 1.32% .07%
Anderson .44%
SECTIONAL 13SECTREGNSEMISTATE
New Palestine 35.90% 31.95% 18.14% 13.67%
Indianapolis Cathedral 34.04% 26.93% 10.91% 6.68%
Pendleton Heights 20.75% 14.76% 4.73% 2.45%
Mount Vernon (Fortville) 4.18% .90% .05% .01%
Greenfield-Central 2.14% .28% .01%
SECTIONAL 14SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Plainfield 57.43% 16.03% 3.87% 1.59%
Terre Haute South 36.34% 5.12% .60% .13%
Terre Haute North 3.75% .01%
Indianapolis Arsenal Tech 1.41%
SECTIONAL 15SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bloomington South 65.77% 55.47% 40.04% 31.90%
Bloomington North 20.38% 2.64% .24% .03%
Franklin 7.73% .39% .01%
Seymour 4.57% .09%
SECTIONAL 16SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville North 41.11% 15.43% 5.17% 2.31%
Floyd Central 32.55% 14.51% 6.70% 3.89%
Castle 23.21% 8.31% 2.50% 1.03%
New Albany 1.55% .02%
CLASS 4A
SECTIONAL 17SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Hobart 35.11% 12.07% 1.53% .08%
Lowell 24.91% 8.15% .94% .04%
Hammond Morton 20.54% 7.40% 1.03% .06%
Hanover Central 7.87% 1.28% .04%
Highland 3.53% .10%
East Chicago Central 1.12%
Kankakee Valley .96%
Gary West .92% .01%
SECTIONAL 18SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Northridge 34.75% 31.26% 17.73% 5.55%
South Bend St. Joseph 21.18% 15.55% 4.00% .43%
NorthWood 13.05% 5.90% .55% .02%
Mishawaka 8.01% 4.27% .54% .03%
Culver Academy 7.35% 1.66% .05%
Plymouth 5.96% 1.42% .05%
New Prairie 2.07% .18%
South Bend Riley 1.90% .25%
SECTIONAL 19SECTREGNSEMISTATE
East Noble 28.07% 23.33% 16.97% 6.21%
Fort Wayne Dwenger 17.83% 13.12% 8.24% 1.94%
Columbia City 16.44% 12.81% 8.59% 2.44%
DeKalb 13.75% 8.22% 4.17% .57%
Leo 9.35% 5.89% 3.15% .49%
Fort Wayne North 6.48% 2.90% 1.10% .08%
New Haven 1.57% .22% .02%
Wawasee .93% .10% .01%
SECTIONAL 20SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Logansport 30.59% 11.94% 6.75% 1.20%
Yorktown 21.67% 6.44% 3.16% .40%
Muncie Central 13.23% 2.09% .70% .04%
Delta 9.69% .99% .24% .01%
Kokomo 6.60% .46% .08%
Jay County 6.27% .17% .01%
Fort Wayne Luers 5.81% .40% .07%
Marion .49%
SECTIONAL 21SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Chatard 36.62% 30.72% 17.25% 10.93%
Danville 18.31% 11.18% 2.76% .91%
Northview 17.63% 9.31% 1.69% .39%
Brebeuf Jesuit 14.27% 6.48% .88% .14%
Lebanon 4.75% 1.60% .13% .01%
Guerin Catholic 3.90% 1.39% .13% .01%
Indianapolis Shortridge .08%
Frankfort .04%
SECTIONAL 22SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indianapolis Roncalli 44.85% 24.88% 8.58% 3.85%
Beech Grove 15.44% 2.33% .21% .02%
Mooresville 13.95% 1.85% .15% .01%
Greenwood 8.01% .38% .01%
Connersville 4.94% .23% .01%
Richmond 3.14% .06%
Martinsville 3.12% .06%
Indianapolis Attucks 1.21% .01%
SECTIONAL 23SECTREGNSEMISTATE
East Central 67.94% 54.25% 36.68% 23.41%
Shelbyville 9.41% 2.24% .23% .02%
Columbus East 6.98% 1.35% .10% .01%
Charlestown 5.23% .82% .04%
Silver Creek 3.64% .39% .01%
Madison 1.80% .06%
Jennings County 1.17%
SECTIONAL 24SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Reitz 40.81% 19.72% 10.80% 5.62%
Jasper 16.26% 5.15% 1.55% .41%
Heritage Hills 10.59% 2.85% .59% .10%
Evansville Harrison 10.15% 1.88% .17% .01%
Bedford North Lawrence 6.90% .89% .04%
Boonville 6.64% .96% .05%
Evansville Central 2.13% .11%
Evansville Bosse .86% .04%
CLASS 3A
SECTIONAL 25SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Andrean 35.30% 26.16% 16.25% 3.90%
Griffith 31.93% 22.69% 13.35% 2.83%
Twin Lakes 18.01% 4.81% .92% .03%
Calumet 6.90% .51% .02%
Hammond Noll 1.57% .02%
River Forest 1.28% .01%
Benton Central .96%
SECTIONAL 26SECTREGNSEMISTATE
West Noble 29.51% 14.49% 7.09% 1.04%
Angola 20.67% 9.13% 3.97% .47%
Fairfield 14.60% 4.58% 1.28% .08%
Tippecanoe Valley 12.50% 4.42% 1.45% .11%
Jimtown 9.67% 2.83% .72% .04%
Mishawaka Marian 5.35% .95% .11%
John Glenn 2.15% .18% .01%
South Bend Washington .19%
SECTIONAL 27SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Bluffton 27.11% 22.98% 14.28% 3.90%
Adams Central 20.31% 14.96% 6.62% .98%
Norwell 19.03% 13.47% 5.48% .71%
Heritage 15.85% 9.73% 3.01% .26%
Garrett 4.78% 1.76% .24% .01%
Fort Wayne Concordia 3.73% .97% .08%
Bellmont 2.01% .27% .01%
Woodlan 1.70% .22% .01%
SECTIONAL 28SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Mississinewa 21.86% 8.61% 2.88% .28%
Maconaquah 20.17% 6.53% 1.75% .12%
Hamilton Heights 16.59% 4.91% 1.19% .07%
West Lafayette 16.09% 3.89% .74% .03%
Western 9.92% .58% .02%
Eastbrook 6.51% .70% .05%
Northwestern 3.85% .22% .01%
SECTIONAL 29SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Tri-West 49.04% 29.44% 9.85% 5.55%
Western Boone 23.83% 6.61% .51% .10%
Speedway 9.50% .92% .02%
North Montgomery 7.03% .28%
Purdue Englewood 3.05% .09%
Crawfordsville 1.98% .05%
Heritage Christian .98% .01%
Indianapolis Washington .15%
SECTIONAL 30SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lawrenceburg 38.16% 29.96% 14.21% 9.49%
Batesville 23.78% 12.89% 2.42% .96%
Franklin County 15.43% 6.05% .51% .11%
Centerville 6.60% 1.95% .09% .01%
Greensburg 4.91% 1.23% .04%
New Castle 4.30% 1.15% .04%
South Dearborn 1.36% .14%
Rushville .45% .02%
SECTIONAL 31SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Indian Creek 52.75% 21.28% 11.71% 7.06%
Vincennes Lincoln 15.18% 2.01% .48% .13%
Sullivan 11.53% .55% .04%
Edgewood 5.50% .30% .03%
Scottsburg 4.45% .09%
Owen Valley 4.08% .09%
Washington 1.50% .01%
SECTIONAL 32SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Evansville Memorial 42.73% 36.07% 27.69% 20.77%
Evansville Mater Dei 33.51% 21.02% 10.71% 6.07%
Gibson Southern 15.40% 9.27% 4.45% 2.40%
Southridge 1.80% .39% .03%
Mount Vernon (Posey) 1.35% .11%
Corydon Central 1.07% .07%
North Harrison .14%
Princeton .08%
CLASS 2A
SECTIONAL 33SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wheeler 28.31% 7.58% 2.37% .12%
Rensselaer Central 23.94% 4.77% .99% .03%
Knox 21.47% 3.92% .71% .02%
LaVille 15.03% 1.27% .07%
Boone Grove 4.34% .29% .01%
Whiting 2.27% .06%
Lake Station .40%
SECTIONAL 34SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Eastside 54.81% 51.21% 35.38% 11.64%
Bremen 18.44% 15.07% 6.52% .66%
Lakeland 8.06% 3.33% .50% .01%
Rochester 7.06% 2.61% .33%
Manchester 2.69% .35% .01%
Central Noble 2.44% .29% .01%
Prairie Heights 1.61% .33% .02%
SECTIONAL 35SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Oak Hill 23.07% 5.99% 1.02% .03%
Eastern (Greentown) 20.31% 7.19% 1.77% .10%
Lewis Cass 16.45% 4.86% .96% .04%
Tipton 11.09% 2.63% .40% .01%
Peru 10.02% 2.02% .26%
Seeger 8.06% .80% .05%
Delphi 4.13% .10%
Elwood .90%
SECTIONAL 36SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lapel 49.08% 44.47% 25.78% 7.15%
Hagerstown 15.18% 8.77% 1.83% .08%
Alexandria 10.36% 6.27% 1.40% .06%
Northeastern 6.84% 3.19% .51% .01%
Shenandoah 5.16% 1.22% .09%
Winchester 4.47% .92% .06%
Frankton 3.20% .57% .03%
Blackford .38% .01%
SECTIONAL 37SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Eastern Hancock 59.17% 35.08% 27.09% 16.80%
Indianapolis Lutheran 17.44% 4.52% 1.58% .30%
Triton Central 10.37% 2.10% .56% .07%
Indianapolis Ritter 4.14% .47% .07%
Covenant Christian 2.45% .18% .02%
Indianapolis Scecina 1.61% .08% .01%
Park Tudor .48% .01%
Christel House .04%
SECTIONAL 38SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Putnam 45.26% 34.05% 28.27% 19.71%
Cascade 21.51% 10.19% 6.27% 2.74%
Monrovia 11.04% 2.22% .61% .08%
North Putnam 9.70% 1.42% .30% .03%
Southmont 3.13% .22% .02%
Greencastle 2.64% .13% .01%
South Vermillion 1.09% .02%
West Vigo .40%
SECTIONAL 39SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Brownstown Central 59.64% 53.89% 15.49% 6.83%
Salem 18.42% 7.93% .27% .02%
Clarksville 7.20% .93%
Switzerland County 4.94% .42%
Providence 2.42% .34%
Eastern (Pekin) 1.72% .06%
Mitchell 1.00% .02%
Brown County .08%
SECTIONAL 40SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Posey 47.94% 18.07% 1.60% .24%
South Spencer 18.32% 4.82% .15% .01%
Tell City 10.78% 2.23% .04%
Linton 8.72% 1.17% .01%
Paoli 6.48% .82%
Eastern Greene 2.03% .11%
Perry Central .51% .01%
Pike Central .39%
CLASS 1A
SECTIONAL 41SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Judson 47.03% 41.40% 22.74% 12.43%
West Central 15.84% 7.12% .89% .10%
Winamac 15.02% 6.53% .78% .08%
North Newton 6.26% 1.31% .04%
Culver 4.25% .73% .02%
Bowman Academy 4.04% .63% .01%
Triton 1.64% .17%
South Central (Union Mills) .77% .04%
SECTIONAL 42SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Lafayette Central Catholic 44.81% 19.35% 4.08% .82%
Carroll (Flora) 27.47% 10.84% 1.89% .31%
Clinton Prairie 12.07% 2.62% .15% .01%
Frontier 5.71% .31%
North White 4.51% .20%
Faith Christian 1.09% .01%
Tri-County .57%
SECTIONAL 43SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Pioneer 42.36% 27.22% 18.11% 9.93%
Madison-Grant 19.67% 7.66% 3.32% .91%
Caston 14.65% 4.44% 1.52% .28%
Sheridan 10.75% 2.70% .76% .11%
North Miami 3.82% .41% .05%
Clinton Central 3.64% .14%
Taylor .30%
Tri-Central .10%
SECTIONAL 44SECTREGNSEMISTATE
South Adams 36.03% 25.82% 18.00% 10.60%
Fremont 29.11% 16.09% 8.86% 3.59%
Northfield 13.61% 3.70% 1.06% .15%
Fort Wayne Blackhawk 6.80% 1.02% .16% .01%
Churubusco 6.39% 1.36% .30% .03%
Southwood 1.46% .06%
Southern Wells 1.16% .04%
Whitko .59% .01%
SECTIONAL 45SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Wes-Del 37.33% 14.44% 6.09% 1.35%
Knightstown 34.67% 15.08% 7.17% 1.91%
Tri 14.75% 1.89% .18% .01%
Monroe Central 7.56% .66% .03%
Cambridge City Lincoln .58% .01%
Indianapolis Tindley .47%
Union City .44% .02%
SECTIONAL 46SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Milan 66.88% 53.01% 34.80% 15.65%
North Decatur 22.43% 8.29% 2.11% .23%
South Decatur 3.87% .30% .01%
Union County 2.83% .06%
Edinburgh 1.30% .01%
Trinity Lutheran .58% .01%
SECTIONAL 47SECTREGNSEMISTATE
Riverton Parke 46.14% 37.90% 21.66% 9.18%
Cloverdale 24.59% 13.52% 3.22% .49%
Fountain Central 7.44% 1.45% .08%
North Central (Farmersburg) 6.02% 1.19% .07%
Parke Heritage 5.97% 1.14% .06%
Covington 3.20% .08%
North Vermillion 1.50% .06%
Attica .23%
SECTIONAL 48SECTREGNSEMISTATE
North Daviess 22.36% 12.33% 4.98% 1.39%
North Knox 21.54% 5.21% .48% .02%
Tecumseh 17.12% 8.25% 2.64% .56%
Springs Valley 13.93% 5.18% 1.04% .13%
Forest Park 11.99% 2.06% .11%
West Washington 8.27% 2.23% .25% .02%
Crawford County .09%