| TOURNAMENT CHANCES |
| Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and home field |
| Chance of less than 0.005% is not shown |
| Original pre-tournament chances |
| CLASS 6A |
| REGN | SEMI | STATE |
| Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 100.00% |
23.12% |
6.22% |
| Westfield | 100.00% |
76.88% |
39.11% |
| Brownsburg | 100.00% |
81.05% |
49.55% |
| Warren Central | 100.00% |
18.95% |
5.12% |
| CLASS 5A |
| REGN | SEMI | STATE |
| Merrillville | 100.00% |
56.99% |
15.95% |
| Concord | 100.00% |
43.01% |
9.33% |
| New Palestine | 100.00% |
70.36% |
56.47% |
| Bloomington South | 100.00% |
29.64% |
18.25% |
| CLASS 4A |
| REGN | SEMI | STATE |
| South Bend St. Joseph | 100.00% |
30.68% |
8.71% |
| Fort Wayne Dwenger | 100.00% |
69.32% |
30.84% |
| Indianapolis Roncalli | 100.00% |
72.66% |
48.84% |
| Heritage Hills | 100.00% |
27.34% |
11.62% |
| CLASS 3A |
| REGN | SEMI | STATE |
| Knox | 100.00% |
57.12% |
24.44% |
| Fort Wayne Luers | 100.00% |
42.88% |
14.72% |
| Cascade | 100.00% |
49.33% |
30.28% |
| Gibson Southern | 100.00% |
50.67% |
30.57% |
| CLASS 2A |
| REGN | SEMI | STATE |
| Andrean | 100.00% |
41.73% |
20.33% |
| Adams Central | 100.00% |
58.27% |
32.16% |
| Lapel | 100.00% |
38.26% |
15.80% |
| Brownstown Central | 100.00% |
61.74% |
31.71% |
| CLASS 1A |
| REGN | SEMI | STATE |
| Pioneer | 100.00% |
57.35% |
38.49% |
| South Adams | 100.00% |
42.65% |
25.10% |
| South Putnam | 100.00% |
68.36% |
28.82% |
| Milan | 100.00% |
31.64% |
7.60% |